Fox Factory (FOXF)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$21.52+3.66%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FOXF
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $22 FOXF trades at 22× p/e — 1.6× the 14× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $17 fair value is medium-confidence here. Analysts target $20–$24. Note: our $17 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($20–$24). The flat-multiple read looks rich, but earnings are inflecting up — trailing growth is accelerating and forward estimates confirm — so we've softened our read rather than brand an accelerating name expensive. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $26 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $20.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $18.65 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $4.34 | 14.6 | 0.30 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $13.26 | 13.5 | 0.98 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
$20.00 – $24.00 (median $20.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-06-30
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
| $22.33 |
| 0.6 |
| 34.96 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $26.43 | 27.0 | 0.98 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $14.08 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $13.53 | 13.5 | 1.00 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $23.69 | 13.5 | 1.75 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $21.33 | 0.6 | 33.39 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $47.20 | 27.0 | 1.75 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $22.33 | 13.5 | 1.65 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $20.11 | 0.6 | 31.48 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $44.50 | 27.0 | 1.65 | Analyst | medium |