Farmland Partners, Inc. (FPI)
NYSEReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$8.77-2.12%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FPI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 27.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -32.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 59.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FPI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-28
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 28, 2026, Farmland Partners Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial position as of September 30, 2026, results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2026 and other related information. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The Company intends to make certain supplemental information ava…
Why it matters: The appeals court upheld about $3.5 million in damages. A change in the award could affect FPI's costs and reported results.
Watch forA court ruling reduces or overturns the $3.5 million award to former tenants.
Also watch forA court ruling leaves the $3.5 million award in place or increases the amount owed.
Why it matters: A Texas appeals court let most claims against Sabrepoint proceed. The next court ruling will show whether FPI can move the case forward.
Supportive ifA court ruling allows FPI to proceed with its claims or awards damages to FPI.
Worry ifA court dismisses most of FPI's claims or rules against FPI on them.
Why it matters: AFFO per share fell from $0.04 in Q2 to a $0.05 loss in Q3. A return to positive AFFO would show cash flow has improved.
Supportive ifThe next reported quarter shows AFFO per share above $0.00.
Worry ifThe next reported quarter again shows AFFO per share below $0.00.
Why it matters: FPI repurchased 1.65 million shares in Q3 while AFFO was negative. Further buybacks would show the plan continues; a pause would end the reported pace.
Watch forFPI reports share repurchases for another quarter and says how many shares it bought.
Also watch forFPI reports no share repurchases in the next quarterly results.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$95 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $285 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,484 loss on $10,000 · 34.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.