Farmland Partners, Inc. (FPI)
NYSEReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.65+1.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FPI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 23.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -30.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 54.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FPI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-04-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 29, 2026, Farmland Partners Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial position as of March 31, 2026, results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026 and other related information. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The Company intends to make certain supplemental information available on its websi…
Why it matters: Changes in dividends show management's trust in cash flow and care for shareholders.
Watch forManagement raises the quarterly dividend. It is now over $0.09 per share.
Also watch forManagement cuts the quarterly dividend. It is now below $0.09 per share.
Why it matters: Revenue trends show how healthy the business is and what the market looks like.
Worry ifTotal operating revenues decline year over year by more than 5%.
Less concerning ifTotal operating revenues grow year over year by more than 1%.
Why it matters: Selling properties can make the portfolio better and lower debt. This helps financial health.
Supportive ifManagement is selling more properties. These properties make over $10 million.
Worry ifNo further property sales are announced by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Good capital management helps keep high-quality assets. It also helps deal with loan losses.
Supportive ifManagement shares a new capital plan. This plan makes asset quality better.
Worry ifManagement does not share a clear plan. This leads to more declines in asset quality.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$83 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $228 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,772 loss on $10,000 · 27.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Net income trends will show how well the company is performing and making money.
Worry ifNet income for Q3 drops below $3 million.
Less concerning ifNet income for Q3 exceeds $4 million.
Why it matters: Updates on loan losses show how well the company manages its financial risks.
Worry ifManagement lowers guidance for loan losses. This signals better financial health.
Less concerning ifManagement raises loan loss guidance. This shows worse financial conditions.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss would show ongoing problems and hurt investor trust.
Worry ifQ2 earnings report shows a miss of more than 5% compared to expectations.
Less concerning ifQ2 earnings meet or exceed expectations.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift in the sector's maturity phase.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Changes in AFFO guidance show how well the company handles cash flow and operations.
Supportive ifManagement raises the AFFO per share guidance above the current range of $0.31 to $0.35.
Worry ifManagement lowers the AFFO per share guidance below the current range.