FORGENT POWER SOLUTIONS INC (FPS)
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$18.21-18.85%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FPS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -51.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 188 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
FPS — CFO transition
Dated 2026-10-22
CFO — Ryan Fiedler: The CFO is stepping down via a mutual agreement and separation agreement, which constitutes a genuine departure of a senior executive, though the clarification that there was no disagreement suggests an orderly rather than distressed exit.
Why it matters: Forgent has said both measures will top prior guidance. The report will show the size of the beat and whether margins also rise.
Supportive ifOn Nov. 12, Q1 revenue and adjusted EBITDA both exceed the top of their prior guidance ranges.
Worry ifEither Q1 revenue or adjusted EBITDA fails to exceed the top of its prior guidance range.
Why it matters: Forgent plans to spend about $87 million on fiscal 2027 projects. Positive cash flow would show earnings can help fund the ramp.
Supportive ifThe Nov. 12 report shows operating cash flow above zero for Q1.
Worry ifThe Nov. 12 report shows operating cash flow below zero for Q1.
Why it matters: Backlog reached $3.0 billion in June after record orders. New orders help show whether demand can support the sales ramp.
Supportive ifThe Nov. 12 report shows bookings above $1.503 billion and backlog above $3.0 billion.
Worry ifThe Nov. 12 report shows bookings below $1.503 billion or backlog below $3.0 billion.
Why it matters: The CFO transition came on Oct. 22, the same day as the Q1 preannouncement. A named successor and steady financial reporting would support an orderly change.
Watch forForgent names a permanent CFO. The next report lists its planned financial measures and dates.
Also watch forForgent has no named permanent CFO by the next quarterly report, or delays that report.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$347 on $10,000 · ±3.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $959 loss on $10,000 · 9.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,526 loss on $10,000 · 65.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.