Fathom Holdings Inc (FTHM)
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.15-15.08%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FTHM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 7 industry peers
FTHM — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-11-03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information included in
Why it matters: Management set a $38 million gross profit target for 2026. The provided data does not show progress toward it.
Supportive ifFathom reports full-year 2026 gross profit of at least $38 million.
Worry ifFathom reports full-year 2026 gross profit below $38 million.
Why it matters: Nasdaq said Fathom's share price stayed below $1.00 for 30 business days. Keeping the listing depends on meeting the rule.
Watch forFathom reports that its closing bid price is at least $1.00 for the required 10 straight business days, or Nasdaq grants more time.
Also watch forFathom reports it missed the Nasdaq deadline, or Nasdaq starts delisting after the share price stays below $1.00.
Why it matters: The real estate sector is in a mature phase, with growth slowing. Faster revenue growth would show a stronger trend for Fathom.
Supportive ifFathom reports year-over-year revenue growth faster than the sector's recent pace. Growth moves back toward past highs.
Worry ifFathom reports slower year-over-year revenue growth, with no move back toward prior highs.
Why it matters: Fathom remains loss-making. Smaller losses and better cash flow would show progress toward its stated goal.
Supportive ifIn its next results, Fathom reports a smaller net loss than Q2's $6.2 million loss and positive cash from operations.
Worry ifFathom reports a net loss greater than $6.2 million or cash from operations below zero.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$310 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,027 loss on $10,000 · 10.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,980 loss on $10,000 · 89.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Fathom has secured notes and a bridge note. The October amendment may change when or how it must repay them.
Worry ifA filing shows higher debt, earlier payment, or terms that make repayment or refinancing harder.
Less concerning ifA filing shows more time to repay, lower debt, or no added payment burden under the amended notes.
Why it matters: The proposed deal was canceled. A new signed deal could bring digital assets into Fathom, but it needs firm terms and approvals.
Watch forFathom and NXH sign final deal terms. These include asset values, share count, and required board and stockholder approvals.
Also watch forFathom or NXH states that talks ended, or no signed deal is reached and the parties remain separate.