Fortive (FTV)
NYSEIndustrialsHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$56.94-1.09%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FTV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -4.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 8.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FTV — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-05-14
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in
Why it matters: Ongoing buybacks show a focus on capital use and can help share price.
Supportive ifFortive announces another $200 million in share buybacks for Q3.
Worry ifFortive announces no share buybacks or cuts its buyback plans.
Why it matters: Share buybacks can boost EPS and signal management's confidence in the company's value.
Supportive ifCompletion of at least $500 million in share repurchases.
Worry ifNo major share buybacks were announced or done.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth indicates demand for Fortive's products. It supports the company's growth narrative.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue growth exceeds 7% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth falls below 5% year-over-year.
Why it matters: News about share buybacks shows Fortive's plan to give money back to shareholders.
Supportive ifMore share buybacks are announced beyond the $600 million planned.
Worry ifNo further announcements on share buybacks or a reduction in planned buybacks.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$108 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $247 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,331 loss on $10,000 · 13.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Core revenue growth above 6% shows strong demand and execution of the growth strategy.
Supportive ifCore revenue growth reported above 6% year-over-year in Q3.
Worry ifCore revenue growth reported below 5% year-over-year in Q3.
Why it matters: Better cash flow is key for funding growth and keeping financial stability.
Supportive ifCash from operations is over $717.3 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations is below $717.3 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Better cash from operations is key for funding growth and paying shareholders.
Supportive ifCash from operations increased compared to last year.
Worry ifCash from operations went down compared to last year.
Why it matters: The EPS guidance of $2.90 to $3.00 shows financial stability. It shows management's confidence in future earnings.
Supportive ifFortive maintains its adjusted EPS guidance of $2.90 to $3.00 during the Q2 earnings call.
Worry ifFortive lowers its adjusted EPS guidance below $2.90 during the Q2 earnings call.
Why it matters: Keeping or improving margins shows Fortive can manage costs well.
Supportive ifOperating income margin was above 26.8% in Q3.
Worry ifOperating income margin was below 26.8% in Q3.
Why it matters: Another raise would show strong confidence in ongoing growth and performance.
Supportive ifManagement raises adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 to more than $3.05.
Worry ifGuidance remains at or below $2.95 to $3.05.
Why it matters: More buybacks would show strong capital use and confidence in cash flow.
Supportive ifShare repurchases exceed $200 million in Q3.
Worry ifShare repurchases fall below $150 million in Q3.