Six Flags (FUN)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-05
$9.24+16.52%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FUN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -41.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 43.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers
FUN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 6, 2026, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation issued a news release disclosing 2026 fiscal second-quarter results. A copy of the news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. This information shall not be deemed to be "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise be subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by refer…
Why it matters: Q2 same-park spending per guest fell 1%, as lower ticket spending outweighed gains inside parks. A rise would ease that pressure.
Supportive ifThe Q3 report shows same-park total spending per guest above the prior-year level.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows same-park total spending per guest down at least 1% year over year.
Why it matters: The consumer sector read points to shrinking revenue, while Six Flags grew same-park revenue 2.4% in Q2. Further growth would show company results differ from that sector backdrop.
Supportive ifThe Q3 report shows same-park revenue above the prior-year level.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows same-park revenue below the prior-year level.
Why it matters: The CFO left in May, and the finance lead was interim. A named successor would close a key leadership gap.
Supportive ifThe Nov. 5 report or a company release names a permanent CFO.
Worry ifThe company confirms its CFO search is ongoing. It has not named a permanent successor.
Why it matters: Q2 attendance rose 4%, led by pass visits. Another gain would support the demand story.
Supportive ifIn the Nov. 5 Q3 report, same-park attendance is up more than 4% year over year.
Worry ifIn the Q3 report, same-park attendance is flat or down year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$281 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $769 loss on $10,000 · 7.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,285 loss on $10,000 · 72.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 same-park EBITDA rose 7% as revenue grew and costs stayed controlled. A repeat would show that trend held.
Supportive ifThe Q3 report shows same-park Adjusted EBITDA up at least 7% year over year.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows same-park Adjusted EBITDA flat or lower year over year.