GATX (GATX)
NYSEIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$190.72+2.65%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GATX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 25.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GATX — credit agreement
Dated 2026-05-21
Entry Into A Material Definitive Agreement On May 21, 2026, GATX Corporation (the “Company”) entered into Amendment No. 1 (the “Amendment”) among the Company, the banks, financial institutions and other institutional lenders parties thereto, and Citibank, N.A., as administrative agent, to its existing Five Year Credit Agreement, dated as of May 21, 2024 (as amended, supplemented, or otherwise modified from time to time, the “Credit Agreement”), among the Company, Citibank, N.A. and BofA Secur…
Why it matters: Engine Leasing profit fell from $60.4 million to $51.4 million year over year. GATX linked the earlier rise to strong operating and resale income at RRPF.
Watch forThe next Engine Leasing quarterly profit report shows over $51.4 million.
Also watch forThe next Engine Leasing quarterly profit report shows under $51.4 million.
Why it matters: Renewal rates still rose, but the increase slowed from 22.8% a year ago to 12.4%. A further drop could weaken lease income growth.
Worry ifThe next reported Rail North America Lease Price Index increase is below 10%.
Less concerning ifThe next reported Lease Price Index increase is 12.4% or higher.
Why it matters: High use supports lease income. Use fell to 98.4% from 98.9% a year earlier, so the next quarter tests demand strength.
Watch forRail North America fleet use stays at or above 98% in the next reported quarter.
Also watch forRail North America fleet use falls below 97% in the next reported quarter.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$85 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $215 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,947 loss on $10,000 · 19.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.