GCM Grosvenor, Inc. (GCMG)
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$13.03+2.28%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GCMG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 27.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
GCMG — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-10
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 10, 2026 , GCM Grosvenor Inc. (the “Company”) reported financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026. The full text of the press release and earnings presentation issued in connection with the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 and Exhi…
Why it matters: Management puts EPS growth first. Q2 adjusted net income rose 22% from a year ago.
Supportive ifThe Nov. 9 report keeps 2026 adjusted EPS guidance near $0.19 per share or raises it, with adjusted net income still growing year over year.
Worry ifThe Nov. 9 report cuts 2026 adjusted EPS guidance below $0.19 per share or reports lower adjusted net income year over year.
Why it matters: The company named revenue momentum as a focus. Q2 revenue was reported at $124.8 million, so Q3 can test whether growth continues.
Supportive ifThe Nov. 9 report shows Q3 revenue above $124.8 million.
Worry ifThe Nov. 9 report shows Q3 revenue below $124.8 million.
Why it matters: Operating income fell to $20.5 million in Q2, from $54.7 million in 2025-Q4. Another drop would add pressure to a stated goal.
Worry ifThe Nov. 9 report shows Q3 operating income below $20.5 million.
Less concerning ifThe Nov. 9 report shows Q3 operating income at or above $20.5 million.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$136 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $289 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,071 loss on $10,000 · 20.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.