Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. (GDYN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$8.06-1.71%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GDYN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 58.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 48.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 39 industry peers
GDYN — earnings in line
Dated 2026-04-30
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K and the accompanying Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 19…
Why it matters: If sector growth slows, it could hurt Grid Dynamics' performance. The sector is currently in a growth phase.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: This would show that Grid Dynamics is struggling to grow its sales. It is a key focus for management.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow from operations is key. It helps fund growth and keeps finances healthy.
Supportive ifCash from operating activities rose from $14.5 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash from operating activities keeps dropping. It stays below $14.5 million.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means better cost control. This leads to making more money.
Supportive ifOperating income is better than in Q1 2026.
Worry ifOperating income is worse than in Q1 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$184 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $540 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,821 loss on $10,000 · 48.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this range shows continued growth momentum. It reflects strong demand in key sectors.
Supportive ifQ3 revenues reported within the guidance range of $112.0 to $114.0 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenues are below $112.0 million. This shows weaker demand.
Why it matters: High growth in AI revenue shows strong market use. It also shows unique offerings.
Supportive ifAI revenue growth reported above 50% year-over-year for the third quarter.
Worry ifAI revenue growth is below 50% year-over-year. This may mean the market is full.
Why it matters: Hitting this margin target shows good cost control. It also shows efficient operations.
Supportive ifGAAP gross margin improves by 300 basis points or more from the previous year.
Worry ifGAAP gross margin fails to improve by at least 300 basis points.