GE Aerospace (GE)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-07-07
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Track GE free→NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-07-07
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Track GE free→GE Aerospace grows revenue about 7% a year with strong defense contracts. Profit margins stay above 21%. Free cash flow is solid at about $8 billion. New tech deals boost future growth.
Revenue growth slows below 7%. Profit margins shrink under 20%. Free cash flow falls below $7 billion. Guidance cuts show risks to earnings.
The price is about 32% above our fair value near $280. Analysts expect 7% revenue growth. Our fair value is 24% below the Street median, so the market is stretched versus fundamentals.
Breaks if: EPS falls below $7.1 in FY26
GE Aerospace is committed to maintaining its EPS guidance for 2026, aiming for the high-end of the range.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Diluted EPS was $1.81 in 2026-Q1, slightly down from $2.02 in 2025-Q3. Management continues to aim for the high-end of the EPS guidance range, but the current trajectory shows limited progress.
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $8 billion in FY26
Breaks if: Operating margin falls below 21.4% in FY26
GE Aerospace is focused on achieving its operating margin guidance of at least 21.4% for 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Operating income was $2.198 billion in 2026-Q1, down from $2.851 billion in 2025-Q4. The company maintains its operating margin guidance of 21.4% for 2026, but the trajectory shows limited progress this quarter.
Breaks if: Full-year revenue falls below $42.3 billion in FY26
GE Aerospace aims to maintain its full-year revenue guidance, trending toward the high-end of the range.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue was $12.392 billion in 2026-Q1, showing a slight decline from $12.716 billion in 2025-Q4. Despite this, management remains confident in achieving the high-end of the full-year guidance range, indicating persistent focus but limited substantive delivery this quarter.
Standing thesis, reviewed periodically — not a price target or advice.
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“We are trending toward the high-end of our EPS guidance range.”
“EPS guidance remains a priority.”
“We are committed to our EPS targets.”
“Operating profit margin guidance remains at 21.4%...”
“We are on track to meet our operating margin targets.”
“Operating margin guidance is a key focus.”
“We're holding our full-year guidance across the board...”
“We are maintaining our revenue guidance for the year.”
“We continue to uphold our revenue guidance.”