Great Elm Group Inc (GEG)
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.150.00%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GEG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -28.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 43.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 71.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
GEG — officer change
Dated 2026-10-23
Director — Eric Scheyer: A director chose not to stand for re-election at the annual meeting, which is a standard, non-adverse board turnover event.
Why it matters: GEG says it took steps to address near-term GECC debt maturities. A clear update would show whether those steps worked.
Watch forGEG reports that GECC repaid or extended near-term debt maturities. It also reports no missed debt payments.
Also watch forGEG reports an unpaid maturity, a debt default, or a failure to extend near-term debt.
Why it matters: GEG had used $16.1 million of its $40 million plan by August 24. More purchases would show the company is still using the plan.
Watch forA filing or earnings release reports more GEG share repurchases after August 24, 2026.
Also watch forA filing or earnings release says the repurchase plan is paused, ended, or has no capacity left.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$46 on $10,000 · ±0.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $357 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,418 loss on $10,000 · 34.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.