Geospace Technologies Corp (GEOS)
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$3.60-8.63%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GEOS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -32.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -7.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 25.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 25 industry peers
GEOS — credit agreement
Dated 2026-11-03
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On October 29, 2026, Geospace Technologies Corporation (the “Company”) entered into a Revolving Loan and Security Agreement with Amerisource Funding, Inc. (“Amerisource”), among the Company and its subsidiary GTC, Inc., as borrowers (the “Borrowers”), and Amerisource, as lender (the “Agreement”). The Company had a $7.5 million outstanding loan balance under the First Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated August 29, 2025 (the “Woodforest Credit…
Why it matters: The company is using cash while it records losses. Staying near its capex budget would show spending discipline.
Worry ifFiscal 2026 property and equipment spending is at or below the $5 million budget.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2026 spending on property and equipment tops the $5 million budget.
Why it matters: The company is losing money and used $27.3 million in cash from operations over nine months. Savings are a key test of its cost cuts.
Watch forQ4 results show lower operating costs and a smaller operating loss than Q3's $9.7 million net loss.
Also watch forQ4 results show no lower costs and a net loss at or above Q3's $9.7 million.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$211 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $917 loss on $10,000 · 9.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,733 loss on $10,000 · 87.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.