Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Global Industrial Co. (GIC)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$47.18-0.82%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
2.21 → 2.21 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 2 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 2; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for GIC yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maintain or increase dividend above $0.28 per share | Dividends grew from $0.26 to $0.28 per share. | Intact | Dividend falls below $0.26 per share in 2026 | Dividend per share: $0.28 per share FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $0.28 per share. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q3. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Nov 3, 20260.28 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on profitable growth and dividend maintenance. The current thesis state is stable, supported by recent strong financial results and management's clear priorities.
The market appears to price GIC as undervalued compared to its peers, with a valuation that is considered cheap. There is an expectations gap of 0.27, suggesting that the market may not fully recognize the potential for continued earnings growth.
Fundamentals are likely to show continued strength, as management is on track with their priorities of driving revenue growth, increasing earnings per share (EPS), and maintaining dividends. However, there is a moderate risk of missing earnings expectations, particularly given the recent performance of industry peers.
The thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers like GWW, FAST, and FERG. If these companies continue to perform well, it could provide a favorable backdrop for GIC. Conversely, any negative guidance from these peers could pose risks to GIC's outlook.
Overall, GIC's fundamentals and management execution suggest a stable outlook in the coming years. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated in 3 of 3 supplied quarters. Management reported: “The Company’s Board of Directors has declared a cash dividend of $0.28 per share and a special cash dividend of $1.00 per share to common stock shareholders of record at the close of business on November 16, 2026, payable on November 23, 2026.” “The Company’s Board of Directors has declared a cash dividend of $0.28 per share to common stock shareholders of record at the close of business on August 17, 2026, payable on August 24, 2026.”
Increase EPS to at least $0.39 in 2026 full year | EPS rose from $0.35 to $0.42 in one year. | Intact | EPS falls below $0.35 per share in 2026 | Diluted EPS: $0.64 per share FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $0.39 per share. Target period ends 2026-12-31; this observation covers 2026-Q3. Nov 3, 20260.64 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 3 of 3 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Net income per diluted share from continuing operations benefited by approximately $0.04 from tariff refunds.” “Excluding refunds from tariffs, net income per diluted share would have been $0.54.” Diluted EPS was $0.64 in 2026-Q3. Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Grow revenue to at least $350M in 2026-Q1 | A primary condition in Global Industrial Co.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= $350.4 million. | Intact | Revenue falls below $302M in any quarter through 2026-Q1 | Revenue: $389.5M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $350.4 million. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q3. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Nov 3, 2026389,500,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 3 of 3 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Third quarter revenue increased 10.2% and we delivered our fourth consecutive quarter of high-single digit average daily sales growth, up 8.5%.” ““Our go-to-market strategy is strengthening customer relationships, enabling us to win larger opportunities and to capture greater share of wallet.” Revenue was $389.500 million in 2026-Q3. Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$2.21 → $2.21 · observed estimates
$1.53B → $1.54B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-25 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-26 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-27 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-28 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-29 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-30 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-31 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-01 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-02 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-03 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-04 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-05 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-06 | $2.21 | $1,525,804,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-07 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-08 | $2.06 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-09 | $2.06 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-10 | $2.06 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-12 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-13 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-14 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-15 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-16 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-17 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-18 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-19 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-20 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-21 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-22 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-23 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-24 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-25 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-26 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-27 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-28 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-30 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-31 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-01 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-02 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-03 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-04 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-06 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-07 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-08 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-09 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-10 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-11 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-14 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-15 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-16 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-17 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-18 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-21 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-22 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-23 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-24 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-25 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-26 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-28 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-29 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-30 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-01 | $2.21 | $1,547,763,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-02 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-03 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-05 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-06 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-07 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-08 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-09 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-10 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-11 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-12 | $2.21 | $1,549,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-13 | $2.21 | $1,555,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-14 | $2.21 | $1,555,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | $2.21 | $1,555,270,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-16 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-17 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-19 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-20 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-21 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-22 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-23 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-26 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-27 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-28 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-29 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-31 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-03 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | $2.21 | $1,544,113,667 | 2 / 2 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 2 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 1 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.