Global Industrial Co. (GIC)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$47.18-0.82%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GIC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 34.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GIC — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 4, 2026 Global Industrial Company (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026 (the "Press Release"). The Press Release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. On August 4, 2026 at 5:00 p.m. Eastern time, management will host a conference call to discuss the Company's financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026.
Why it matters: Sales grew for three straight quarters, with gains from both price and volume. Another strong quarter would support the growth trend.
Supportive ifQ3 average daily sales grow at least 7% year over year, with gains in both price and volume.
Worry ifQ3 average daily sales growth falls below 3% year over year or volume turns negative.
Why it matters: The industrial sector signals point to slower growth. GIC's Q2 sales grew 7.7% year over year, well above the sector's stated 3-year revenue growth near 4%.
Watch forGIC reports Q3 sales growth above 4% year over year, staying ahead of the sector's stated 3-year growth pace.
Also watch forGIC reports Q3 sales growth at or below 4% year over year, in line with or below that pace.
Why it matters: The board declared a $0.28 per-share dividend in both Q1 and Q2. A new declaration would show that level continues.
Supportive ifThe board declares a dividend of at least $0.28 per share in its next quarterly announcement.
Worry ifThe board declares a dividend below $0.28 per share or suspends the dividend.
Why it matters: The company bought 22,000 shares in Q1 and 160,000 in Q2. The next quarter will show if repurchases continue at a meaningful pace.
Supportive ifThe Q3 report shows repurchases of more than 22,000 shares.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows no share repurchases.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$90 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $189 loss on $10,000 · 1.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,606 loss on $10,000 · 16.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 margin was 40.2% with a one-time tariff refund. Without that refund, it was 34.7%. The next result shows the ongoing margin level.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin falls below 34.7%, the Q2 level after removing the tariff benefit.
Less concerning ifQ3 gross margin is at least 34.7% without a large one-time benefit.