Expectations trend
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-01-31 · fmp
Gloo Holdings Inc (GLOO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.70-6.90%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for GLOO yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Manage equity dilution to preserve shareholder value | A supporting condition in Gloo Holdings Inc's published investment case. The stated target is No large unregistered equity sales beyond FY26. | Under Pressure | Additional large equity sales announced within next 12 months | 1.5M shares issued May 2026 vs no large unregistered sales target May 2026 filing confirms issuance of 1.5M Class A shares in unregistered transaction. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-01-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk growth business that is still losing money, not a proven durable compounder. Its long-term thesis remains in a watch state: revenue targets are progressing, but recent performance has been weak and earnings misses have added uncertainty.
The valuation evidence points to GLOO being cheap versus peers, but the model has low confidence and the expectations gap is negative. The priced-in label is justified, with low fragility, so the evidence does not suggest that expectations are unusually fragile.
Near term, repeated earnings misses and an elevated chance of another miss create execution risk. Over the multi-year view, revenue has grown and guidance has risen, while losses have narrowed and Adjusted EBITDA has improved sequentially; management still aims for Adjusted EBITDA profitability by Q4 2026.
The key test is whether GLOO continues delivering revenue growth and reaches its profitability goal without cutting guidance. Rate cuts or steadier results from large technology peers could support the sector backdrop, while another guidance cut or earnings miss would reinforce concerns about execution.
The 1-3 year thesis has signs of progress in revenue and narrowing losses, but remains uncertain because GLOO is still loss-making and recent results have been weak. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Company turns profitable by FY28 with positive EPS |
| A primary condition in Gloo Holdings Inc's published investment case. The stated target is EPS >= 0 USD_PER_SHARE. |
| Improving |
| EPS remains negative beyond FY28 |
Diluted EPS: $-0.25 per share FY2027-Q2; GAAP. Published target: EPS >= 0 USD_PER_SHARE. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Sep 10, 2026-0.25 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue reaches at least $195 million in FY 2026 | A primary condition in Gloo Holdings Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >=195 USD_MILLIONS. | Intact | revenue falls below $150 million in FY26 | Revenue: $46.573M FY2027-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=195 USD_MILLIONS. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Sep 10, 202646,573,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.01 → $-0.12 · observed estimates
$0.28B → $0.29B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.01 | $284,394,333 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.01 | $284,394,333 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.01 | $284,394,333 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.01 | $284,394,333 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.11 | $284,396,833 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.12 | $286,102,167 | 2 / 4 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 6 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.