Gloo Holdings Inc (GLOO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$2.70-6.90%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GLOO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -59.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 64.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 124.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 61 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GLOO — earnings miss
Dated 2026-09-09
of this Current Report, including the accompanying Exhibit 99.1, shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language contained in such filing.
Why it matters: Gloo says it aims to make a profit on this measure in Q4. Results have improved each quarter, but remain negative.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is above $0.
Worry ifQ4 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is $0 or lower, or Gloo delays its profit goal.
Why it matters: Gloo raised its 2026 revenue goal to $200 million after Q2 revenue beat its guidance. Meeting the goal would show that rapid growth continues.
Supportive ifReported fiscal 2026 revenue is at least $200 million.
Worry ifReported fiscal 2026 revenue is below $200 million, or Gloo cuts its revenue outlook.
Why it matters: Gloo is adding AI tools, but the inputs give no sales or use figures for them. Paying users would show demand beyond product launches.
Supportive ifGloo reports a count of paying AI Studio or Gloo Code users and shows that count rose from the prior quarter.
Worry ifGloo reports no paying users, or says paid use fell from the prior quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$233 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $809 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,158 loss on $10,000 · 71.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.