Gloo Holdings Inc (GLOO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.10+1.31%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GLOO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -80.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 58.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 139.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 120 industry peers
GLOO — earnings miss
Dated 2026-06-08
of this Current Report, including the accompanying Exhibit 99.1, shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language contained in such filing.
Why it matters: New partnerships or acquisitions can help Gloo grow and improve its market position.
Supportive ifA new partnership or acquisition is announced that boosts Gloo's skills or market reach.
Worry ifNo new partnerships or acquisitions mean Gloo may not be growing as planned.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss shows ongoing problems. This could hurt investor trust.
Worry ifQ2 2026 earnings report shows a loss compared to expectations.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 earnings report meets or exceeds expectations.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss shows ongoing money problems. This could make investors worried.
Worry ifThe company reports earnings that fall short of expectations again in the next report.
Less concerning ifThe company reports earnings that meet or beat expectations in the next earnings report.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target shows Gloo's strong growth and execution. It confirms the raised guidance for 2026.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue reported at or above $44 million.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue reported below $44 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$237 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $840 loss on $10,000 · 8.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,895 loss on $10,000 · 69.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This report will give insights into revenue growth and profit progress.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue and EBITDA numbers that are better than expected.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue and EBITDA numbers that are worse than expected.
Why it matters: An increase in revenue guidance shows confidence in growth. It could signal better performance ahead.
Supportive ifManagement raises revenue guidance to $195M for 2026.
Worry ifManagement does not raise revenue guidance and maintains it at $180M.
Why it matters: Winning large contracts shows strong demand. It supports Gloo's market plan.
Supportive ifAt least five new customers signed with over $1 million in annual contract value.
Worry ifNo new customers signed with over $1 million in annual contract value.
Why it matters: Tripling revenue growth would signal strong demand and market position. This can boost stock value.
Supportive ifQ1 2026 revenue growth is reported at three times the previous year's rate.
Worry ifQ1 2026 revenue growth is reported below double the previous year's rate.
Why it matters: Reaching breakeven would show big improvements. It would also boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is at or near breakeven for Q3 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA reported much worse for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Insights from the earnings call will show Gloo's financial health and plans.
Watch forManagement is positive and says growth will happen during the earnings call.
Also watch forManagement talks about concerns with growth or making money during the earnings call.
Why it matters: Adding new customers shows Gloo is gaining market traction. It shows their sales strategy works.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least three new strategic customers in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNo new strategic customers announced in Q2 2026.