Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
$15.51+1.31%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GNE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 31 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GNE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-14
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 14, 2026, the Registrant distributed over a wire service and posted to the investor relations page of its website (www.genie.com), an earnings release announcing its results of operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the earnings release concerning the foregoing results is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The Registrant is furnishing the information contained in this Report, inc…
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is crucial for financial health. A negative trend could signal deeper issues.
Supportive ifCash from operating activities is growing. It is now above $0.
Worry ifCash from operating activities is still negative or getting worse. This shows cash flow issues.
Why it matters: Following NYSE rules is key for keeping the stock listing and trust from investors.
Worry ifSuccessful filing of the 10-K within the six-month period.
Less concerning ifFailure to file the 10-K within the six-month period.
Why it matters: This would show a strong recovery after a low Q1 and Q2. It would also indicate progress toward the full year guidance of $32.5 to $40 million.
Supportive ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is $10 million or more.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is less than $7 million.
Why it matters: Making more cash is important for growth and paying dividends.
Supportive ifThere is positive cash flow from operations next quarter.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is still negative.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$104 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $322 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,816 loss on $10,000 · 18.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss would show ongoing problems. It could hurt investor feelings.
Worry ifEarnings report shows results that meet or exceed expectations, reversing the trend.
Less concerning ifAnother earnings miss was reported. This shows ongoing problems with operations.
Why it matters: Sector growth affects Genie Energy's results. Signs of recovery can help investor feelings.
Watch forThe utilities sector shows revenue growth speeding up again.
Also watch forUtilities sector growth keeps slowing down.
Why it matters: Cash flow from operations dropped a lot. Better cash flow will show improved management.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive in the next quarter.
Worry ifIf cash flow from operations stays negative or gets worse.
Why it matters: Staying within this range shows that Genie is managing its growth and costs well. It reflects on their operational health.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for the full year remains between $32.5 million and $40 million.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $32.5 million for the full year.
Why it matters: Paying the dividend shows Genie cares about its shareholders. It also shows financial stability.
Supportive ifThe company pays the quarterly dividend on August 24, 2026, as planned.
Worry ifThe company may delay or stop the quarterly dividend payment.
Why it matters: Buying back shares shows trust in the company’s value. It also helps earnings per share.
Supportive ifThe company plans more share repurchases after buying 48,000 shares in Q2.
Worry ifThe company halts share repurchases due to cash flow issues.