Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
$16.71-2.22%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GNE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 6.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 8.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers
GNE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-14
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 14, 2026, the Registrant distributed over a wire service and posted to the investor relations page of its website (www.genie.com), an earnings release announcing its results of operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the earnings release concerning the foregoing results is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The Registrant is furnishing the information contained in this Report, inc…
Why it matters: GREW moved from a small loss to positive EBITDA in Q2. Its second community solar project also came online late in the quarter.
Supportive ifGREW reports positive Adjusted EBITDA in Q3, up from $0.3 million in Q2.
Worry ifGREW reports Adjusted EBITDA at zero or below in Q3.
Why it matters: Genie said it needed to restate audited results for 2024 and 2023. Filing the report would address its NYSE compliance issue.
Watch forGenie files its 2025 Form 10-K with the restated 2024 and 2023 financial statements.
Also watch forGenie has not filed the 2025 Form 10-K by the end of the NYSE's six-month filing period.
Why it matters: Genie kept its full-year guide after Q2 EBITDA rose to $7.5 million. Q3 results will show if that pace can continue.
Watch forQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is at least $8.1 million. This is the average needed in Q3 and Q4 to reach the $32.5 million low end.
Also watch forQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is below $8.1 million, leaving a higher bar for Q4 to reach the $32.5 million low end.
Why it matters: GRE had fewer customers than a year ago, and churn rose to 5.9% in Q2. More churn could weigh on its customer base.
Worry ifGRE churn is 5.9% or higher in Q3, or RCEs fall below Q2's 345,000.
Less concerning ifGRE churn falls below 5.9% and RCEs rise above Q2's 345,000.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$93 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $293 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,234 loss on $10,000 · 12.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Management named stronger cash generation as a goal. Operating cash flow was negative $6.5 million in Q1.
Supportive ifThe Q3 report shows cash above zero from ongoing operations.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows cash at zero or below from ongoing operations.