Generac (GNRC)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$187.35+2.37%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GNRC
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $187 GNRC trades at 23× p/e, below its 34× p/e peer median. Our $262 fair value sits well above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $214–$340. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $302.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $143.79 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $211.86 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $94.07 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$214.00 – $340.00 (median $302.00) · 13 analysts · as of 2026-08-04
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 195% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 6.2 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $4.90/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $262.93 |
| 23.5 |
| 11.92 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $242.48 | 38.1 | 6.36 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $276.39 | 33.9 | 8.15 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $268.78 | 3.6 | 74.43 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $339.58 | 41.7 | 8.15 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $58.23 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $292.76 | 33.9 | 8.63 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $448.85 | 33.9 | 13.23 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $407.70 | 3.6 | 112.90 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $551.46 | 41.7 | 13.23 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $513.88 | 33.9 | 15.15 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $466.78 | 3.6 | 129.26 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $631.37 | 41.7 | 15.15 | Analyst | medium |