Generac (GNRC)
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-07-07
$235.55-8.63%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
Reading GNRC? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track GNRC free→NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-07-07
Reading GNRC? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track GNRC free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · GNRC
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $235.55. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $236 GNRC trades at 34× p/e, below its 40× p/e peer median, but our blended $226 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $228–$335. Note: our $226 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($228–$335). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $276 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
$228.00 – $335.00 (median $296.00) · 12 analysts · as of 2026-06-29
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 254% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 10.7 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $5.13/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $296.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $162.87 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $159.36 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $83.67 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $241.96 | 23.4 | 11.04 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $220.86 | 39.5 | 5.58 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $277.50 | 40.3 | 6.89 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $309.67 | 4.2 | 73.04 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $246.89 | 35.8 | 6.89 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $52.08 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $230.63 | 33.5 | 6.89 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $291.02 | 40.3 | 7.23 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $504.84 | 40.3 | 12.53 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $448.55 | 4.2 | 105.80 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $449.16 | 35.8 | 12.53 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $419.57 | 33.5 | 12.53 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $578.00 | 40.3 | 14.35 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $513.55 | 4.2 | 121.13 | guidance | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $514.24 | 35.8 | 14.35 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $480.37 | 33.5 | 14.35 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.