Gentex (GNTX)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$23.14+1.31%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GNTX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers
GNTX — earnings in line
Dated 2025-10-24
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. (a) On October 24, 2025 Gentex Corporation issued a news release announcing financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the news release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to the Form 8-K. The information in this Form 8-K and the attached Exhibit shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities A…
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows Gentex's promise to give value to shareholders. Any change may worry them.
Watch forDividend remains at $0.12 per share for the next quarter.
Also watch forDividend is cut below $0.12 per share.
Why it matters: Good performance from VOXX would show they are integrating well and growing new products. It shows their acquisition strategy is working.
Supportive ifVOXX revenue exceeds $90 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifVOXX revenue falls below $80 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If operating income grows less than 5%, it shows trouble with cost management. This may hurt profits.
Worry ifOperating income grew less than 5% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifOperating income grew more than 5% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Tariffs can greatly impact revenue. This is especially true in the important China market.
Worry ifQ2 revenue from China shows less than a 20% decline year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue from China declines more than 30% year over year.
Why it matters: Integrating VOXX well can boost revenue and profits. This is important for Gentex's growth plans.
Supportive ifManagement says VOXX integration is on track and margins are getting better.
Worry ifManagement says there are delays or problems with VOXX integration.
Why it matters: Ongoing share buybacks signal management's confidence in the company's value. It also supports earnings per share growth.
Supportive ifGentex announces share repurchases of at least $50 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifGentex announces no share repurchases in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Growth in non-car areas shows good diversity. This means less dependence on car sales.
Supportive ifNon-automotive revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNon-automotive revenue growth is below 5% year over year in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Strong growth in this area shows successful product launches. It also shows market demand.
Supportive ifPremium Audio revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year in Q3 2026.
Worry ifPremium Audio revenue growth falls below 5% year over year in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If Gentex grows faster, it shows they are handling market problems. This means they can grow even when vehicle production is down.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue growth exceeds 2% compared to Q2 2025.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth is below 2% compared to Q2 2025.
Why it matters: Stronger growth shows strength even with falling vehicle production and tariffs.
Supportive ifCore Gentex revenue growth exceeds 2% in Q2 2026 compared to Q1 2026.
Worry ifCore Gentex revenue growth is less than or equal to 2% in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If operating income growth stays above 80%, it shows Gentex is managing costs well. This supports their goal to enhance operating income.
Supportive ifOperating income grew by more than 80%.
Worry ifOperating income grew by less than 80%.
Why it matters: Paying dividends shows the company is doing well. It also shows they care about investors.
Supportive ifGentex announces it will keep or raise its dividend payment.
Worry ifGentex cuts its dividend payment or suspends it.
Why it matters: A bigger drop would show worse conditions in key markets. This would hurt overall growth.
Worry ifQ3 automotive revenue fell more than 3% from Q3 2025.
Less concerning ifAutomotive revenue stays the same or grows compared to Q3 2025.
Why it matters: A drop below this level could show problems with cost management and pricing power.
Worry ifGross margin falls below 34.5% in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifGross margin remains at or above 34.5% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: More repurchases would show strong capital use and confidence in future growth.
Supportive ifShare repurchases exceed $70 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifShare repurchases fall below $50 million in Q3 2026.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$117 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $233 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,809 loss on $10,000 · 28.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.