Gentex (GNTX)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$20.21-2.93%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GNTX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GNTX — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-23
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. (a) On October 23, 2026 Gentex Corporation issued a news release announcing financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the news release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to the Form 8-K. The information in this Form 8-K and the attached Exhibit shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities A…
Why it matters: Gentex cut its 2026 revenue outlook to about $2.65 billion. A lower result would add to the Q3 sales shortfall.
Worry if2026 revenue is below the updated full-year outlook of $2.65 billion.
Less concerning if2026 revenue reaches or exceeds $2.65 billion.
Why it matters: The first PCBA award adds a new program to Gentex's product work. Production would confirm the contract has moved beyond the award stage.
Supportive ifGentex or its customer confirms production has begun on the first PCBA contract in 2029.
Worry ifProduction is delayed beyond 2029 or the contract is canceled.
Why it matters: Gentex said the dimmable visor is set to launch late next year. A launch on time would mark progress on a named new product.
Supportive ifGentex confirms the dimmable visor launches by the end of 2027.
Worry ifGentex delays the launch past 2027 or reports that the product is not ready for launch.
Why it matters: Gentex cut its margin outlook after Q3 margin fell to 33.4%. A lower full-year result would show that cost and sales mix pressures remain strong.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 gross margin is below 34.0%, the low end of the updated outlook.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 gross margin reaches or exceeds 34.0%.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$98 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $232 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,369 loss on $10,000 · 23.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Non-automotive sales reached 15% of Q3 revenue, up from 12% a year ago. More growth would show that these lines can offset pressure in auto sales.
Supportive ifIn the next reported quarter, non-automotive revenue is higher than a year ago. It is at least 15% of total revenue.
Worry ifNon-automotive revenue falls year over year or drops below 12% of total revenue.