Gladstone Commercial Corp. (GOOD)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.11+0.69%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GOOD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GOOD — director transition
Dated 2026-06-02
Director — George 'Chip' Stelljes, III: Mr. Stelljes was elected to the Board and appointed to several committees.
Why it matters: Trends in net income show overall profit. It shows how well the company manages costs.
Supportive ifNet income for Q3 2026 is over $5.1 million. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifNet income for Q3 2026 falls below $5.1 million, suggesting potential issues.
Why it matters: Earnings will show how Gladstone is doing in a mixed market.
Watch forGladstone reports Q2 earnings with funds from operations (FFO) growth above 5%.
Also watch forGladstone reports Q2 earnings with FFO growth below 2%.
Why it matters: Updates on asset sales and purchases show a clear strategy. This affects growth and stability.
Watch forNew property buys or sales in target markets are announced.
Also watch forNo updates or delays in recycling capital are seen.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift in the real estate market.
Supportive ifReal estate revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now above 7%.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 5% for another quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$79 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $228 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,870 loss on $10,000 · 18.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The capital recycling program shows how well the company uses its assets.
Watch forThe company sells assets it does not need. It puts the money into industrial properties.
Also watch forNo progress reported on asset sales or reinvestments in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Cash flow is key for paying bills and supporting tenants. A drop below $15M signals trouble.
Worry ifQ2 cash flow from operations reported below $15M.
Less concerning ifQ2 cash flow from operations reported above $18M.
Why it matters: Strong net income growth shows the company is making money. It shows good management and tenant support.
Supportive ifNet income available to common stockholders grows more than 20% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifNet income growth is less than 10% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: High rent collection rates mean tenants are stable. This helps the company's cash flow.
Supportive ifRent collection remains at 100% for Q3 2026.
Worry ifRent collection falls below 95% for Q3 2026. This shows tenant difficulties.
Why it matters: Selling and buying assets will improve the portfolio's quality and growth.
Supportive ifComplete at least two major asset sales or purchases by Q4 2026.
Worry ifNo major asset sales or purchases by Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Net income shows profitability. A drop below $4M raises concerns about financial health.
Worry ifQ2 net income reported below $4M.
Less concerning ifQ2 net income reported above $7M.
Why it matters: Renewing a lot of space shows strong demand. It shows the company can keep occupancy rates high.
Supportive ifLeased or renewed over 900,000 square feet in Q3.
Worry ifLeased or renewed less than 800,000 square feet in Q3. This shows possible tenant instability.
Why it matters: A drop in occupancy may show tenant problems. This can affect rental income.
Worry ifOccupancy rate falls below 98% in the next quarterly update.
Less concerning ifOccupancy rate stays at or above 98%. This shows strong tenant retention.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it may signal a positive shift in the real estate sector.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth reported above 4% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: Helping tenants can stabilize revenue and improve cash flow during tough times.
Supportive ifManagement announces plans to help tenants, like rent relief or flexible terms.
Worry ifNo new plans announced. This may mean tenants are having problems.
Why it matters: Keeping full cash rent collections is key for stable revenue. It shows tenant health and management effectiveness.
Supportive ifCash rent collections remain at 100% for Q3.
Worry ifCash rent collections fall below 98% in Q3. This shows possible tenant issues.
Why it matters: Higher costs from inflation could hurt profits. Monitoring this helps check the company's cost management.
Worry ifOperating expenses increase by more than 5% in Q3 compared to Q2.
Less concerning ifOperating expenses rise by less than 3% in Q3 from Q2. This shows good cost control.
Why it matters: Core FFO growth signals strong operational performance. A rise above 7.8% shows continued strength.
Supportive ifCore FFO growth exceeds 7.8% compared to Q2 2026.
Worry ifCore FFO growth falls below 7.8% compared to Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Net income trends show how profitable the company is. A drop may mean trouble.
Worry ifNet income for common stockholders is over $5 million.
Less concerning ifNet income falls below $5 million.
Why it matters: A drop in rent collection signals tenant instability. Maintaining 100% collection is crucial for cash flow.
Worry ifCollection rates drop below 100% for any month.
Less concerning ifCollection rates remain at 100% for the next quarter.