Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Gulfport Energy Corp. (GPOR)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$155.08-2.53%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
25.73 → 24.96 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 9 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 8 to 9; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for GPOR yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capex within $400M-$430M range in 2026 | The company maintains disciplined capital spending with 2026 capex guided between $400M and $430M. | Broken | capex exceeds $430M or falls below $400M in FY26 | Capital expenditures: $174.954M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: $400M-$430M. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 4, 2026174,954,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a cyclical energy business with potential to extend its Utica development runway, rather than a clearly consistent compounder. The long-term thesis is intact and the signal has improved to mildly favorable, but confidence is medium and recent execution remains uneven.
GPOR is valued cheaply versus peers, and the evidence describes expectations as broadly justified rather than excessively fragile. The market appears to recognize weak execution quality and a turbulent sector, but the available evidence does not point to a severe expectations gap.
Near term, consecutive earnings misses make the next report a key test, with a meaningful risk of guidance being cut. Production eased from the first to the second quarter of 2026 as capital spending increased, while management continued its development plan and acreage expansion; share repurchases remained active.
The multi-year view depends on management expanding Utica inventory and extending the development runway while carrying out its 2026 plan. Near-term signals include whether the next call brings lower guidance and whether energy-sector leaders continue to report strong results and outlooks.
Over the next one to three years, GPOR’s setup combines cheap valuation and a more supportive sector backdrop with moderate risk and unsettled execution. The thesis remains intact, but earnings and guidance are important near-term checks. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in Gulfport Energy Corp.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= $1.56B. |
| Broken |
| revenue falls below $1.56B in FY26 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Effective execution of share buyback program | It also supports shareholders through a share buyback program. | Intact | buyback program halted or materially reduced | Buyback program active (Q3 2026 update) Q3 2026 earnings release confirmed updates on the common stock repurchase program, indicating continued execution. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$28.59 → $24.96 · observed estimates
$1.57B → $1.47B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $28.59 | $1,569,785,401 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $28.59 | $1,569,785,401 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-07-26 | $28.52 | $1,587,559,840 | 13 / 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | $28.43 | $1,587,559,840 | 13 / 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | $28.15 | $1,560,904,918 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-07-29 | $28.43 | $1,587,559,840 | 13 / 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | $28.15 | $1,560,904,918 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | $28.52 | $1,587,559,840 | 13 / 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | $28.15 | $1,560,904,918 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $28.52 | $1,587,559,840 | 13 / 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | $28.52 | $1,587,559,840 | 13 / 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | $28.52 | $1,587,559,840 | 13 / 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | $28.59 | $1,602,247,870 | 13 / 5 |
| 2026-08-06 | $28.15 | $1,560,904,918 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-08-07 | $27.66 | $1,548,947,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-08 | $28.00 | $1,587,316,180 | 13 / 5 |
| 2026-08-09 | $28.00 | $1,587,316,180 | 13 / 5 |
| 2026-08-10 | $28.00 | $1,587,316,180 | 13 / 5 |
| 2026-08-12 | $28.01 | $1,587,316,180 | 13 / 5 |
| 2026-08-13 | $27.66 | $1,548,947,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | $27.66 | $1,548,947,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | $27.66 | $1,548,947,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | $27.66 | $1,548,947,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | $27.66 | $1,548,947,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | $27.66 | $1,548,947,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | $27.66 | $1,548,947,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | $27.63 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | $27.48 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | $27.48 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | $27.48 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | $27.48 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $27.11 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $26.76 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $26.76 | $1,547,322,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $26.73 | $1,547,170,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $26.73 | $1,547,170,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $26.41 | $1,547,170,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $26.41 | $1,547,170,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $26.41 | $1,547,170,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $26.41 | $1,547,170,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $26.03 | $1,547,170,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $25.76 | $1,538,295,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $25.76 | $1,538,295,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $25.76 | $1,538,295,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $25.76 | $1,538,295,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $25.76 | $1,538,295,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-21 | $25.76 | $1,538,295,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-22 | $25.76 | $1,538,295,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-23 | $25.76 | $1,538,295,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | $25.76 | $1,538,295,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-25 | $25.82 | $1,538,295,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-26 | $25.59 | $1,525,420,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | $25.59 | $1,525,420,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-28 | $25.59 | $1,525,420,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | $25.59 | $1,525,420,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-09-30 | $25.59 | $1,525,420,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | $25.59 | $1,525,420,440 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-10-02 | $25.66 | $1,527,822,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-10-03 | $25.66 | $1,527,822,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | $25.73 | $1,527,822,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-10-05 | $25.73 | $1,527,822,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-10-06 | $25.75 | $1,527,822,611 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $25.53 | $1,513,116,886 | 8 / 3 |
| 2026-10-08 | $25.38 | $1,491,366,886 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-10-09 | $25.38 | $1,491,366,886 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-10-10 | $25.38 | $1,491,366,886 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-10-11 | $25.19 | $1,491,366,886 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-10-12 | $25.19 | $1,491,366,886 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-10-13 | $25.53 | $1,480,241,886 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-10-14 | $25.42 | $1,480,241,886 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-10-15 | $25.36 | $1,480,241,886 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-10-16 | $25.24 | $1,474,770,565 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-10-17 | $25.24 | $1,474,770,565 | 8 / 4 |
| 2026-10-18 | $25.60 | $1,474,770,565 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-19 | $25.60 | $1,474,770,565 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-20 | $25.78 | $1,474,770,565 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-21 | $25.29 | $1,474,770,565 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-22 | $25.29 | $1,474,770,565 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-23 | $25.29 | $1,474,770,565 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-24 | $25.29 | $1,474,770,565 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-25 | $25.29 | $1,474,770,565 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-26 | $25.29 | $1,474,770,565 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-27 | $25.29 | $1,474,770,565 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-28 | $25.29 | $1,474,807,573 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-29 | $25.29 | $1,474,807,573 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-30 | $25.29 | $1,474,807,573 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-10-31 | $25.29 | $1,474,807,573 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-11-01 | $25.29 | $1,474,807,576 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-11-02 | $25.29 | $1,474,807,576 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-11-03 | $25.29 | $1,474,807,573 | 9 / 5 |
| 2026-11-04 | $24.96 | $1,474,807,576 | 9 / 5 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 7 Buy / Strong Buy · 7 Hold · 1 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
0 raises · 2 cuts · 0 unchanged · 1 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.