Gulfport Energy Corp. (GPOR)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$179.40-1.35%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GPOR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -18.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 37 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GPOR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 3, 2026, Gulfport Energy Corporation (“Gulfport”) issued a press release reporting its financial and operating results for the three months ended June 30, 2026, and provided updates on its financial position, recent inventory additions and the outlook for its discretionary acreage acquisition program. A copy of the press release and supplemental financial information are attached as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, to this C…
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this growth shows Gulfport is on track with its 2026 development plan.
Supportive ifQ2 net daily equivalent production grows more than 5% compared to Q2 2025.
Worry ifQ2 production growth falls below 5% compared to Q2 2025.
Why it matters: Gulfport plans to invest $140 million in new acreage. Success here can boost inventory and future production.
Supportive ifManagement says they will finish buying at least $70 million in land by year-end.
Worry ifNo new land purchases reported by year-end or big delays in the plan.
Why it matters: A drop in production could mean problems or challenges. This can hurt revenue.
Worry ifQ3 production reported below 950 MMcfe per day.
Less concerning ifQ3 production stays above 950 MMcfe per day. This shows operations are stable.
Why it matters: More share buybacks may show management believes in the company's value and wants to pay cash.
Supportive ifGulfport says it bought back over $70 million in shares in Q3.
Worry ifGulfport says it bought back less than $70 million in shares in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$119 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $357 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,250 loss on $10,000 · 32.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Increased buybacks would indicate strong cash flow and confidence in the company's value.
Supportive ifShare repurchases in Q3 exceed $100 million.
Worry ifShare repurchases in Q3 are below $100 million.
Why it matters: The new CEO's vision could reshape Gulfport's strategy. Positive changes may enhance growth prospects.
Watch forThe new CEO announced good plans that match growth goals.
Also watch forNo big changes in strategy or ongoing problems with the new leadership.
Why it matters: Staying within this range shows careful spending. This is important for long-term growth.
Supportive ifQ2 capital spending is reported between $400M and $430M.
Worry ifQ2 capital spending is over $430M or under $400M.
Why it matters: If revenue growth improves, it signals a positive shift in the energy sector. This could support Gulfport's valuation and market position.
Supportive ifGulfport reports revenue growth above 2% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Ongoing buybacks can show management believes in the company's value. This can help share price.
Supportive ifManagement announces more share buybacks of at least $100 million by year-end.
Worry ifNo new share buybacks announced or a big drop in buyback activity.
Why it matters: More spending may mean plans for growth or problems in operations.
Watch forTotal capital spending is above $450 million for 2026.
Also watch forTotal capital spending is below $450 million for 2026.
Why it matters: This program adds good locations. It also grows Gulfport's main Utica inventory.
Supportive ifGulfport will finish the $140 million acreage acquisitions by the end of 2026.
Worry ifGulfport does not finish the $140 million acreage acquisitions by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Q2 earnings will show if Gulfport is sticking to its growth plan. A strong report supports management's commitment.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth is over $437.5 million. This shows good momentum.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is under $400 million. This may show problems with growth plans.