Gulfport Energy Corp. (GPOR)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
$155.08-2.53%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GPOR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -26.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GPOR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 3, 2026, Gulfport Energy Corporation (“Gulfport”) issued a press release reporting its financial and operating results for the three months ended June 30, 2026, and provided updates on its financial position, recent inventory additions and the outlook for its discretionary acreage acquisition program. A copy of the press release and supplemental financial information are attached as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, to this C…
Why it matters: Gulfport raised its 2026 capital plan to about $430 million. Spending above that level may weaken cash available for other uses.
Worry ifGulfport reports 2026 capital spending above its $430 million plan for the full year.
Less concerning ifGulfport reports full-year capital spending of $430 million or less.
Why it matters: Adjusted free cash flow fell from $118.9 million in Q1 to $6.4 million in Q2. A recovery would support cash returns and acreage spending.
Watch forQ3 adjusted free cash flow rises above Q2's $6.4 million.
Also watch forQ3 adjusted free cash flow remains at or below $6.4 million.
Why it matters: This is the next scheduled report on output, cash flow, and spending. It can show whether Q2's lower output and free cash flow persist.
Watch forThe November 4 report shows daily production is higher. Adjusted free cash flow is above Q2 levels.
Also watch forThe November 4 report shows daily production of 962.8 MMcfe or less. Adjusted free cash flow is $6.4 million or less.
Why it matters: Hodges left the CFO role in August, and the company began a search for a permanent successor. The appointment will show how quickly the role is filled.
Watch forGulfport names a permanent CFO and states the person has taken the role.
Also watch forGulfport reports the CFO search is still open or names only an interim CFO at its next earnings update.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$140 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $377 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,250 loss on $10,000 · 32.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This tests delivery of Gulfport's 2026 development plan. Q2 output was below Q1 output.
Supportive ifGulfport reports Q4 2026 daily production about 5% above Q4 2025, as stated in Q1 guidance.
Worry ifGulfport reports Q4 2026 daily production flat or lower than Q4 2025.