Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$4.63-9.39%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GRNT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 33.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 25.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 7.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers
GRNT — director transition
Dated 2026-08-19
Director — John Cocke, Jonathan Adams: The filing discloses the appointment of two new independent directors to expand the board size, which is a routine governance action rather than an executive departure.
Why it matters: Grey Rock said it plans more share distributions. Another filing would show the pace of that change in ownership.
Watch forA new filing reports another Grey Rock share distribution, with its share count and date disclosed.
Also watch forNo further distribution is reported, or Grey Rock reports that it has no current plan for another one.
Why it matters: Q2 lease costs rose 47% per Boe from a year earlier. Staying within the full-year cap would ease that pressure.
Supportive ifQ3 lease operating expense is no more than $9.25 per Boe, the top of 2026 guidance.
Worry ifQ3 lease operating expense tops $9.25 per Boe, or management raises the full-year cap.
Why it matters: Management set this range for 2026. Q2 production was 32,044 Boe/day, below its lower end.
Supportive ifQ3 reported production is at least 34,000 Boe/day, keeping the company within its 2026 range.
Worry ifQ3 reported production is below 34,000 Boe/day, with no update that keeps full-year production in range.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$136 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $494 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,820 loss on $10,000 · 28.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.