Grove Collaborative Holdings (GROV)
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.07+1.90%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GROV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -68.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 68.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GROV — Chair transition
Dated 2026-08-31
Director — Naytri Shroff Sramek: The filing reports the resignation of a non-executive director and the appointment of a replacement, which is a routine board composition change rather than a loss of senior management.
Why it matters: A drop in active customers shows problems with keeping and growing customers.
Worry ifDTC Active Customers fall below 500,000. This means customer engagement is getting worse.
Less concerning ifDTC Active Customers stabilize or rise above 509,000. This shows better customer retention.
Why it matters: The CFO leaving could hurt financial planning and affect performance.
Worry ifNew CFO is appointed with a clear plan for financial strategy.
Less concerning ifNo new CFO has been named, causing uncertainty about financial plans.
Why it matters: New leaders can change a company's plans and results, especially in finance.
Watch forQ2 2026 results show better financial numbers after the CFO change.
Also watch forQ2 2026 results show continued financial struggles or setbacks.
Why it matters: Lower costs to get customers would help growth and show good marketing.
Supportive ifCustomer acquisition costs are lower than in Q1 2026.
Worry ifCustomer acquisition costs go up or stay the same compared to Q1 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$165 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $456 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,103 loss on $10,000 · 41.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Reaffirming guidance shows confidence in future revenue growth. This is key for investor trust.
Supportive ifManagement says full-year net revenue will be between $142.5 million and $152.5 million.
Worry ifManagement cuts full-year net revenue to less than $142.5 million.
Why it matters: New partnerships could help growth and increase revenue after recent drops.
Supportive ifA new strategic partnership is announced that may boost revenue.
Worry ifNo new partnerships announced by the next earnings call on August 6, 2026.
Why it matters: Sequential growth in net revenue would support management's guidance for the year. It would indicate that the company's strategies are starting to work.
Supportive ifQ3 net revenue exceeds $36.6 million, showing growth from Q2.
Worry ifQ3 net revenue is below $36.6 million. This shows ongoing challenges.
Why it matters: If sector growth picks up, it could improve Grove's performance outlook.
Supportive ifConsumer Staples revenue growth exceeds 6% year over year.
Worry ifConsumer Staples revenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: New partnerships can drive growth and improve market position for Grove.
Supportive ifA new partnership is announced. It helps with distribution or product offerings.
Worry ifNo new partnerships are announced. This shows growth initiatives are not moving forward.
Why it matters: Reaching breakeven would show progress in making money and running the business well.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 is at least $0 million.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is still negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Positive Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 shows good cost management. It means the company is close to breakeven.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA in Q3 is positive. It is over $0.5 million.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA in Q3 is negative. This suggests possible setbacks.