Grove Collaborative Holdings (GROV)
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.110.00%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GROV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -63.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 64.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers
GROV — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-10-02
CFO — Flip van den Bosch: The filing discloses the internal promotion of the Controller to Principal Financial Officer (CFO), which is a standard succession event rather than a departure.
Why it matters: Grove reaffirmed its 2026 revenue range, even as sales stayed lower than last year. Results below the range would weaken that outlook.
Worry ifGrove reports 2026 net revenue below $142.5 million, the low end of its range.
Less concerning ifGrove reports 2026 net revenue of at least $142.5 million.
Why it matters: A smaller customer base can mean fewer repeat orders. Active customers fell 23.3% year over year in Q2.
Worry ifQ3 DTC active customers are below 509,000, the Q2 count.
Less concerning ifQ3 DTC active customers are at least 509,000.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin fell from a year earlier, in part due to inventory disposals. A further drop could add pressure while revenue remains weak.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin is below Q2's 53.6%.
Less concerning ifQ3 gross margin is at least 53.6%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$100 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $439 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,026 loss on $10,000 · 40.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.