US Global Investors Inc (GROW)
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.69-0.37%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GROW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -19.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
Why it matters: The latest available quarter showed $2.76 million in revenue and $2.7 million in net income. The next report will test whether growth continued.
Watch forThe Nov. 11 release reports revenue above $2.76 million and positive net income.
Also watch forThe Nov. 11 release reports revenue below $2.76 million or a net loss.
Why it matters: WAR’s assets nearly doubled in the March quarter, reaching about $20 million. Later filings can show if that interest lasted.
Watch forA later company report shows WAR assets above $20 million.
Also watch forA later company report shows WAR assets below $20 million.
Why it matters: Gold and natural resources funds drove recent AUM growth. AUM can show whether that demand held up.
Watch forThe next quarterly report shows average AUM above $1.6 billion.
Also watch forThe next quarterly report shows average AUM below $1.6 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$103 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $336 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,218 loss on $10,000 · 32.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.