Good Times Restaurants Inc (GTIM)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.520.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GTIM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -58.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -25.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 33.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 30 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GTIM — credit agreement
Dated 2025-10-03
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On September 30, 2025, Good Times Restaurants Inc. (the “Company”) and each of its wholly owned subsidiaries, as guarantors, entered into a Third Amendment to Credit Agreement and Consent (the “Amendment”) with respect to the Company’s Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Cadence Bank (“Cadence”), as Administrative Agent and Lender, entered into on April 20, 2023, as amended on May 22, 2024 and May 30, 2024 (collectively, the “Credit Agreement…
Why it matters: Good cost management can help make more money, especially in a tough market. This is key for financial health.
Supportive ifGeneral and administrative costs decrease by more than 10% year over year.
Worry ifGeneral and administrative costs go up each year.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth means a stronger sales outlook. It also supports management's goals.
Supportive ifRevenue growth reported above 0% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue continues to decline or stays flat.
Why it matters: Revenue growth signals strong business performance and market demand. This is vital for investor confidence.
Supportive ifTotal revenues for Q3 exceed $33.2 million.
Worry ifTotal revenues for Q3 are below $33.2 million.
Why it matters: This campaign aims to boost sales. Its success could improve overall performance.
Supportive ifSame store sales at Good Times increase by more than 1% following the campaign.
Worry ifSame store sales at Good Times decline or remain flat after the campaign.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$133 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $419 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,433 loss on $10,000 · 44.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: New campaigns could attract more customers and boost sales. This is important for brand growth.
Supportive ifThe launch of new marketing campaigns, including the return of cheese curds, occurs as planned.
Worry ifThe new campaigns are delayed or canceled.
Why it matters: New marketing efforts could drive sales growth, especially for Good Times.
Supportive ifLaunch of new marketing campaigns for Good Times leads to positive same store sales growth.
Worry ifNew campaigns fail to generate increased sales or traffic.
Why it matters: Managing costs is key to making money. Better efficiency means more profit.
Supportive ifTotal restaurant operating costs decrease year over year in the next quarter.
Worry ifTotal restaurant operating costs go up each year.
Why it matters: New campaigns could drive customer interest and sales. This is important for brand visibility and growth.
Supportive ifNew marketing campaigns launch as planned in late Q3.
Worry ifMarketing campaigns are late or canceled.
Why it matters: Good Times has recently turned positive in same store sales. Sustained growth could boost overall performance.
Supportive ifGood Times same store sales increase year over year by more than 1%.
Worry ifGood Times same store sales decline year over year by more than 1%.
Why it matters: Earnings results show how well the company makes money and grows sales. This is important for investor trust.
Watch forEarnings report shows net income greater than $150,000.
Also watch forEarnings report shows net income less than $150,000.
Why it matters: Higher net income shows better profits. This is important for investor trust.
Supportive ifQ3 net income is over $149,000. This shows profits are still growing.
Worry ifQ3 net income falls below $149,000.
Why it matters: A drop in total revenue shows problems. Stabilization or growth shows recovery.
Supportive ifTotal revenues increase year over year in the next quarter.
Worry ifTotal revenues decline year over year again.
Why it matters: Growth in Adjusted EBITDA shows better profits and efficiency. This is important for financial health.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA increases year over year in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA decreases or remains flat year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: New campaigns could drive traffic and sales, especially for the Good Times brand.
Supportive ifNew marketing campaigns launch well. They have a good effect on sales.
Worry ifMarketing campaigns fail to drive traffic or sales at either brand.
Why it matters: Bad Daddy's sales are facing headwinds. Improvement could signal a turnaround for the brand.
Supportive ifBad Daddy's same store sales increase year over year by more than 1%.
Worry ifBad Daddy's same store sales decline year over year by more than 2%.
Why it matters: Lower debt levels can improve financial flexibility and support growth. This is key for stability.
Supportive ifTotal long-term debt is now less than $1 million.
Worry ifLong-term debt increases or remains above $1 million.