Gitlab Inc (GTLB)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$52.370.00%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GTLB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 81.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 18.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 62.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers
GTLB — earnings miss
Dated 2026-09-01
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On September 1, 2026, GitLab Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended July 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. The Company also announced that it would hold a conference call to discuss its financial results for the fiscal second quarter ended July 31, 2026. The Company makes…
Why it matters: GitLab set Q3 revenue guidance at $281 million to $283 million. Results below that range would weaken its growth story.
Worry ifOn December 1, GitLab reports Q3 FY27 revenue below $281 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 FY27 revenue is at least $281 million and within or above the guided range.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted free cash flow fell to $9.8 million from $46.5 million a year earlier. Another weak quarter would add pressure to cash quality.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted free cash flow is below $9.8 million, the Q2 FY27 result.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted free cash flow rises above $46.5 million, the Q2 FY26 result.
Why it matters: Flex is a new way for customers to pay for seats and AI use. More deals would show that buyers are adopting it.
Supportive ifAt the December 1 update, GitLab reports more Flex agreements. Or, paid Consumption Run Rate rises above the Q1 figure of about $15 million.
Worry ifGitLab reports no new Flex agreements, or paid Consumption Run Rate stays at or below about $15 million.
Why it matters: GitLab plans to cut about 14% of its workforce and leave 22 countries. Delays or added costs could weaken savings.
Worry ifThe plan is still incomplete after FY27 ends. Or, GitLab reports restructuring costs above the stated $30 million to $35 million range.
Less concerning ifGitLab says the plan is substantially complete by FY27 year-end, with total costs no higher than $35 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$232 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $605 loss on $10,000 · 6.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,826 loss on $10,000 · 58.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.