Gitlab Inc (GTLB)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$49.83+1.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GTLB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 37.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 16.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GTLB — earnings miss
Dated 2026-09-01
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On September 1, 2026, GitLab Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended July 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. The Company also announced that it would hold a conference call to discuss its financial results for the fiscal second quarter ended July 31, 2026. The Company makes…
Why it matters: Many users are adopting the Duo Agent Platform. This shows that AI features are working well. It can help the company grow in the future.
Supportive ifUser engagement and revenue are going up because of the Duo Agent Platform.
Worry ifUser engagement or revenue is going down from the Duo Agent Platform.
Why it matters: Confirming revenue guidance shows GitLab's ability to meet growth expectations. This is vital for investor trust.
Supportive ifGitLab reaffirms revenue guidance of $1,112M to $1,118M for FY 2027.
Worry ifGitLab revises revenue guidance down from $1,112M to $1,118M for FY 2027.
Why it matters: Ongoing legal issues may affect GitLab's work and image. Investors should watch closely.
Worry ifLegal issues end well for GitLab. This lowers risk and uncertainty.
Less concerning ifNew legal problems come up or current issues get worse. This raises potential risks.
Why it matters: Growth in customers with over $100k ARR shows GitLab's appeal to larger enterprises. This supports revenue stability.
Supportive ifThe number of customers with over $100k in ARR grew by 18% from last year.
Worry ifCustomers with over $100k ARR growth stalls or declines.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$279 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $610 loss on $10,000 · 6.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,195 loss on $10,000 · 62.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding revenue guidance shows strong demand for GitLab's AI-native platform. It confirms growth momentum.
Supportive ifQ2 FY27 revenue reported between $272M and $274M.
Worry ifQ2 FY27 revenue reported below $272M.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below the median, it signals a weakening position in the growth phase.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below the median for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: A drop in this number may mean unhappy customers. This can risk revenue.
Worry ifThe Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate is under 115%.
Less concerning ifDollar-Based Net Retention Rate remains at or above 117%.
Why it matters: A pause could signal cash flow issues or a shift in capital allocation priorities.
Worry ifAnnouncement of a pause in the share repurchase program.
Less concerning ifShare repurchases continue as planned.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue guidance would signal weakening demand and growth challenges.
Worry ifQ3 revenue guidance issued below $281 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue guidance remains at or above $281 million.
Why it matters: Higher costs may show deeper problems. This could affect future profits.
Worry ifRestructuring costs are above $35 million.
Less concerning ifRestructuring costs are at or below $30 million.