Chart Industries (GTLS)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$209.900.00%
Close 2026-07-16 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GTLS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 64 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GTLS — M&A activity
Dated 2026-07-16
3 As a result of the consummation of the Merger on July 16, 2026, a change in control of Chart occurred. Pursuant to the Merger Agreement, Merger Sub merged with and into Chart, with Chart surviving the Merger as an indirect subsidiary of Baker Hughes. At the Effective Time, Baker Hughes acquired control of Chart. The Merger Consideration paid to holders of Chart Common Stock was $210.00 per share in cash, without interest and subject to any applicable withholding tax. Baker Hughes funded the…
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows financial health. It supports future growth plans.
Supportive ifCash from operations improves to above $0 in 2026-Q2.
Worry ifCash from operations remains negative in 2026-Q2.
Why it matters: This acquisition could help Chart Industries grow. It may also improve its market position.
Supportive ifLook for a press release or SEC filing to confirm the acquisition is complete.
Worry ifWatch for any delays or problems with the acquisition process.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong future sales. This is key for stable revenue.
Supportive ifBacklog increases from $5.89 billion in Q1 2026, indicating strong order flow.
Worry ifBacklog decreases or remains flat, suggesting weak demand.
Why it matters: Better operating income means the company is controlling costs well. This can increase profits.
Supportive ifOperating income should improve by at least 10% from one quarter to the next.
Worry ifOperating income may fall or stay the same compared to earlier quarters.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$9 on $10,000 · ±0.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $20 loss on $10,000 · 0.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $94 loss on $10,000 · 0.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Approvals are needed for the acquisition to move forward. Delays can change the timeline.
Worry ifAll needed approvals are granted by mid-2026.
Less concerning ifApprovals are delayed or not granted.
Why it matters: Specialty Products orders are key for growth. A rebound could signal market recovery.
Watch forSpecialty Products orders increase year over year in Q2 2026.
Also watch forSpecialty Products orders decrease year over year in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If the sector shows renewed growth, it could benefit Chart Industries as well.
Watch forSector revenue growth should be more than 8% compared to last year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth may stay below 6% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Free cash flow is key for funding operations and growth. It shows financial options.
Supportive ifFree cash flow for Q1 2026 increases compared to $66.2 million in Q4 2025.
Worry ifFree cash flow for Q1 2026 decreases compared to $66.2 million in Q4 2025.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows the company is healthier. It also means operations are more efficient.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations should rise by at least 15% from one quarter to the next.
Worry ifCash flow from operations decreases or remains stagnant.
Why it matters: Backlog levels show future revenue potential. An increase means strong demand.
Supportive ifBacklog increases year over year in Q2 2026.
Worry ifBacklog decreases or remains flat year over year in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Backlog shipping updates show future revenue and demand strength.
Supportive if44% of the backlog is reported to ship within the next 12 months.
Worry ifShipping updates show delays or less backlog being fulfilled.
Why it matters: The acquisition is a key growth priority for Chart. Its completion will impact future strategy and operations.
Supportive ifThe merger is done. Regulatory approvals will be finished by mid-2026.
Worry ifRegulatory approvals are late. The merger is not done by mid-2026.
Why it matters: Better operating income is key for Chart's finances. It shows improved cost control.
Supportive ifOperating income for Q1 2026 shows an increase compared to Q4 2025.
Worry ifOperating income for Q1 2026 goes down compared to Q4 2025.