Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (The) (HAIN)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.75+0.38%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HAIN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -86.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -12.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 73.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 29 industry peers
HAIN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-11
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company can recover from the recent earnings miss.
Watch forQ3 earnings report shows revenue growth is back to positive year-over-year.
Also watch forQ3 earnings report shows revenue still falling or another earnings miss.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company can recover from the recent earnings miss. This is a crucial test.
Watch forEarnings per share beats analyst expectations by more than 10%.
Also watch forEarnings per share misses analyst expectations by more than 10%.
Why it matters: A bigger drop in organic sales shows problems in the main business. Investors worry about sales stability.
Worry ifOrganic net sales decline worse than -6% year over year in Q3.
Less concerning ifOrganic net sales decline less than -6% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: A larger debt reduction would show stronger financial discipline and improve the balance sheet. This is key for long-term stability.
Supportive ifTotal debt reduction exceeds $155 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifTotal debt reduction is less than $155 million in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$357 on $10,000 · ±3.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $843 loss on $10,000 · 8.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,714 loss on $10,000 · 77.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More cash flow means better financial health and efficiency.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $38 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is less than $38 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Better earnings can show that Hain's finances are getting better.
Supportive ifEarnings report shows revenue growth or reduced losses compared to prior quarters.
Worry ifEarnings report shows continued losses or revenue decline.
Why it matters: The divestiture's success is key to improving margins and cash flow.
Supportive ifManagement says cash flow got better after selling part of the business.
Worry ifMargins or cash flow still face pressure despite the sale.