Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (The) (HAIN)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.15+5.52%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HAIN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -88.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -11.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 77.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
HAIN — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-09-28
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. As previously disclosed, on March 24, 2026, The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (the “ Company ”) received a letter from the Listing Qualifications Staff (the “ Nasdaq Staff ”) of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“ Nasdaq ”) informing the Company that its common stock failed to comply with the minimum bid price required for continued listing on The Nasdaq Global Select Market under Nasdaq Listing Rule…
Why it matters: Baby and kids sales fell 11% organically in Q4 and 12% for FY2026. Another decline would show that this weak area has not turned.
Worry ifBaby and kids organic net sales fall at least 10% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Less concerning ifBaby and kids organic net sales are flat or grow year over year in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: The sale would leave Hain focused on North America. A delay or failed deal would keep the current plan in doubt.
Watch forA company filing or release says the AURELIUS sale is complete.
Also watch forHain discloses that the sale was ended or remains unclosed beyond its stated deal terms.
Why it matters: Nasdaq told Hain its shares did not meet the minimum bid-price rule. A confirmed cure would address that listing risk.
Watch forNasdaq confirms Hain has met the minimum bid-price rule and will remain listed.
Also watch forNasdaq issues a delisting notice, or Hain says it failed to meet the rule by the deadline.
Why it matters: Hain ended FY2026 with $558 million in debt and a 4.5x net secured leverage ratio. An extension would ease near-term debt pressure.
Supportive ifHain announces a deal with lenders to extend the December debt deadline.
Worry ifHain reports no lender deal by the December debt deadline, or reports a missed payment.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$373 on $10,000 · ±3.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $946 loss on $10,000 · 9.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,161 loss on $10,000 · 91.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.