HAWKEYE 360 INC (HAWK)
NYSEInformation TechnologyAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$13.37-8.36%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HAWK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -44.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
HAWK — earnings miss
Dated 2026-06-22
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On June 22, 2026, HawkEye 360, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of this press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In accordance with General Instruction B.2. of Form 8-K, the information in this Item 2.02, and Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act o…
Why it matters: These satellites are meant to add collection capacity and widen coverage. A launch or delay will show progress on that plan.
Watch forThe company reports that Clusters 15 and 16 and the first Block 3 Kestrel cluster have launched or entered service.
Also watch forThe company reports a launch delay, or a launch fails to add working collection capacity.
Why it matters: Q2 free cash flow was $5.4M, while the company plans more investment in its satellites and data platform. Positive cash flow would ease funding pressure.
Supportive ifQ3 free cash flow is above $0, using the company's stated measure.
Worry ifQ3 free cash flow is below $0, or operating cash flow turns negative.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue was $49.8M, and management set a $215M–$220M full-year goal. Q3 results test that pace.
Supportive ifOn November 12, Q3 revenue and updated full-year guidance support revenue of at least $215M for 2026.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below the pace needed to reach $215M, or management cuts the 2026 revenue range below $215M.
Why it matters: International revenue rose 134% year over year in Q2. Another gain would show that demand is spreading beyond the prior year.
Supportive ifQ3 international revenue is above $21.0M, the Q2 record.
Worry ifQ3 international revenue is below $21.0M, or falls year over year from Q2's $21.0M.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$267 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $765 loss on $10,000 · 7.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,633 loss on $10,000 · 66.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Management says backlog helps show future revenue. Growth would support the demand story; a drop would weaken it.
Watch forThe next report shows backlog above $292.2M, the June 30 level.
Also watch forThe next report shows backlog below $292.2M.