Health Catalyst, Inc. (HCAT)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Healthcare Information ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$1.50-5.66%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Healthcare Information ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HCAT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -68.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -26.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HCAT — CEO transition
Dated 2026-09-08
CEO — Simeon Kohl: The filing discloses the appointment of a new CEO (Simeon Kohl) to succeed the outgoing CEO (Ben Albert), representing an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Simeon Kohl became CEO in September and spoke of stronger growth and operating results. His first plan will show whether that aim has clear steps.
Watch forKohl's first public full-year plan raises revenue guidance above $249 million. It also lays out clear steps for core technology growth.
Also watch forKohl's first public full-year plan cuts revenue guidance below $246 million, or gives no clear steps for core technology growth.
Why it matters: Health Catalyst guided to $55 million to $56 million for Q3. A lower result would deepen the revenue decline.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue is below $55 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 revenue is at least $55 million, within or above guidance.
Why it matters: Full-year revenue guidance is $246 million to $249 million. Falling below that range would point to a weaker business trend.
Worry ifReported 2026 revenue is under $246 million, or the company cuts its full-year range to under $246 million.
Less concerning ifReported 2026 revenue is at least $246 million, within or above the guided range.
Why it matters: The company guided to as much as $0.5 million for Q3. A higher result would show stronger near-term cost control.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 adjusted EBITDA tops $0.5 million.
Worry ifQ3 2026 adjusted EBITDA is below $0, the low end of guidance.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$175 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $806 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,733 loss on $10,000 · 67.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.