Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. (HE)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -35.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 35.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers
HE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-07
of this current report on Form 8-K including HEI Exhibit 99 shall not be deemed “ filed ” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. 1 SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrants have duly caused this…
Why it matters: Hurricane Lala and earlier storms brought added costs. Recovery would limit the hit to cash and earnings.
Watch forThe PUC lets HECO defer its storm costs and recover them later. This includes the $25 million to $30 million O&M estimate.
Also watch forThe PUC rejects recovery or allows much less than the estimated $25 million to $30 million in storm O&M.
Why it matters: HECO said 2026 operating costs would rise much faster than inflation. A smaller rise would ease pressure on earnings.
Watch forOn November 6, HECO reports adjusted O&M, not counting pension costs, at or below last year's level.
Also watch forOn November 6, HECO reports adjusted O&M, not counting pension costs, well above last year's level.
Why it matters: HEI said sale proceeds would reduce future funding needs for Maui wildfire payments. Its remaining shares are locked up for 180 days.
Supportive ifAfter the 180-day lockup ends, HEI announces a sale of remaining ASB shares and reports the cash proceeds.
Worry ifHEI reports no sale after the lockup ends, or says market conditions prevent a sale.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$118 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $339 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,193 loss on $10,000 · 51.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.