HEICO CORP NEW (HEI)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
$325.48-0.07%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HEI
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $325 the market pays 54× p/e — above the 30× p/e peer median but in line with its own 62× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $284 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Analysts target $350–$491. Note: our $284 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($350–$491). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $370 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $396.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $332.53 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $277.73 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $69.35 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$350.00 – $491.00 (median $396.00) · 13 analysts · as of 2026-09-02
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 221% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 15.9 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $6.35/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $171.45 |
| 27.0 |
| 6.98 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $199.12 | 30.4 | 6.55 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $194.49 | 27.8 | 7.00 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $120.74 | 3.3 | 36.64 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $254.68 | 42.4 | 6.01 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $46.05 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $375.21 | 62.4 | 6.01 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $188.22 | 30.3 | 6.21 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $302.84 | 30.4 | 9.97 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $251.94 | 27.8 | 9.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $177.41 | 3.3 | 53.84 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $384.29 | 42.4 | 9.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $566.15 | 62.4 | 9.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $400.51 | 30.4 | 13.18 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $323.64 | 27.8 | 11.65 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $227.90 | 3.3 | 69.17 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $493.66 | 42.4 | 11.65 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $727.28 | 62.4 | 11.65 | Analyst | high |