HEICO CORP NEW (HEI)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
$327.33-3.06%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HEI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 19.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 7.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 27 industry peers
HEI — debt issuance
Dated 2026-07-16
Entry into Material Definitive Agreement. On July 13, 2026, HEICO Corporation (“HEICO” or the “Company”) executed an Underwriting Agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with BofA Securities, Inc., PNC Capital Markets LLC, Truist Securities, Inc. and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, as the representatives of the several underwriters listed in Schedule 1 therein, with regard to the issuance and sale by the Company of $550,000,000 principal amount of the Company’s 4.950% Senior Notes due 2031 (the…
Why it matters: Cash from operations rose 49% in Q3. A lower Q4 result would test management's strong-cash-flow view.
Worry ifQ4 cash from operations is below $345.3 million.
Less concerning ifQ4 cash from operations is $345.3 million or higher.
Why it matters: A less favorable product mix or weaker cost control could cut margins from Q3's record level.
Worry ifFlight Support operating margin is below 25.9% in Q4.
Less concerning ifFlight Support operating margin is 25.9% or higher in Q4.
Why it matters: Flight Support sales rose 12% organically in Q3. A drop below that level would show slower demand.
Worry ifQ4 Flight Support organic sales growth is below 12% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ4 Flight Support organic sales growth is 12% or higher.
Why it matters: HEICO used new notes to repay credit line debt and keep room for deals. A higher ratio would show less debt flexibility.
Worry ifThe next report shows net debt to EBITDA above 1.57x.
Less concerning ifThe next report shows net debt to EBITDA at or below 1.57x.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$99 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $288 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,711 loss on $10,000 · 27.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.