Expectations trend
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-10-31 · fmp
$8.10 → $8.10 · observed estimates
HEICO CORP NEW (HEI)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
$327.33-3.06%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for HEI yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sustain dividend growth and strong cash flow | The company raises dividends, showing strong cash flow and shareholder focus. | Intact | Dividend growth stops or is cut | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-10-31 · fmp
$8.10 → $8.10 · observed estimates
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Dec 17, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on growth through sales increases and acquisitions. The current thesis state is stable, supported by strong recent financial performance, but faces sector headwinds.
The market currently prices HEI at a premium compared to its peers, indicating that investors expect continued strong performance. The expectations gap is minimal, suggesting that the market is not overly aggressive in its assumptions.
Fundamentals are likely to remain strong as management focuses on increasing net sales and maintaining cash flow. Recent results show positive trends, but there is a moderate risk due to potential sector challenges.
The thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers like SPCX, GE, and RTX. If these companies continue to perform well, it could support HEI's growth; however, any negative guidance from them could impact HEI's momentum.
Overall, HEI's position is solid, but it must navigate sector dynamics carefully. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Profit margins remain healthy despite sector headwinds. |
| Intact |
| Profit margins decline more than 5 percentage points from current levels |
Operating margin: 25.14% FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: Maintain profit margins near current levels. Target percentage unit is not explicit. Aug 27, 202625.136902 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Increase net sales in Flight Support and Electronic Technologies | A primary condition in HEICO CORP NEW's published investment case. The stated target is >=13% YoY revenue growth. | Improving | YoY revenue growth falls below 10% next year | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Mendelson, HEICO’s Co-Chairmen and Co-Chief Executive Officers, commented on the Company's third quarter results stating, "HEICO continued its excellent growth, with record quarterly net income, operating income and net sales supported by 14% consolidated organic net sales growth and contributions from our profitable fiscal 2026 and 2025 acquisitions.” “For the remainder of fiscal 2026, we expect increased net sales at both the Flight Support Group and Electronic Technologies Group to continue to be supported by underlying demand for our products and contributions from recent acquisitions.” Revenue was $1.413 billion in 2026-Q3. Delivery assessment Nov 5, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$6.53B → $6.53B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | $8.10 | $6,528,179,045 | 15 / 19 |
| 2026-11-02 | $8.10 | $6,528,179,045 | 15 / 19 |
| 2026-11-03 | $8.10 | $6,528,179,045 | 15 / 19 |
| 2026-11-04 | $8.10 | $6,528,179,045 | 15 / 19 |
| 2026-11-05 | $8.10 | $6,528,179,045 | 15 / 19 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 14 Buy / Strong Buy · 10 Hold · 1 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 7–Nov 5 · 2 recorded
0 raises · 1 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 7, 2026–Nov 5, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.