Hilton Worldwide (HLT)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-11-05
$369.64-1.83%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HLT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 28.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HLT — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-10-20
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On October 20, 2026, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (the “Company”), acting pursuant to authorization from its Board of Directors, notified the New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”) of its intention to voluntarily withdraw the principal listing of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.01 per share (the “Common Stock”), from the NYSE and transfer the listing to the Nasdaq Global Select Market of…
Why it matters: Hilton returned $2.902 billion through October against its full-year goal. The year-end result will show how much of that goal it meets.
Supportive ifHilton reports about $3.5 billion in capital returns for the full year.
Worry ifHilton reports far less than $3.5 billion in capital returns for the full year.
Why it matters: Room growth is a stated priority. Hilton added 23,000 net rooms in Q3 and has a 543,100-room pipeline.
Supportive ifHilton reports 2026 net unit growth near 6.5%, the midpoint of its 6.0% to 7.0% range.
Worry ifHilton reports 2026 net unit growth below 6.0%.
Why it matters: The planned transfer is a named near-term event. Hilton says the ticker stays HLT and the move does not change its business plan.
Watch forHilton shares start trading on Nasdaq under HLT at market open on November 5, 2026.
Also watch forHilton delays or cancels the November 5 transfer. Or its shares do not start trading on Nasdaq as planned.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$101 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $233 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,361 loss on $10,000 · 13.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.