Honeywell (HON)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$215.78-5.55%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HON
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 10.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -35.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 45.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 39 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HON — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-19
President and CEO — Billal Hammoud: The filing announces an internal succession where an existing executive (Hammoud) is promoted to a new segment CEO role, with a named successor (Picon) taking over his previous role, while another executive (West) departs.
Why it matters: Honeywell raised its full-year adjusted EPS range to $8.40 to $8.45. Falling short would reverse that raised outlook.
Worry if2026 adjusted EPS is below $8.40.
Less concerning if2026 adjusted EPS is $8.40 or higher.
Why it matters: Honeywell raised its Q4 organic growth view to 5% to 6%. A result below 5% would miss that range.
Worry ifQ4 2026 organic sales growth is below 5%.
Less concerning ifQ4 2026 organic sales growth is 5% or higher.
Why it matters: Honeywell lifted its free cash flow view from about $2.0 billion to $2.1 billion. A shortfall would break that raised cash goal.
Worry if2026 free cash flow is below $2.1 billion.
Less concerning if2026 free cash flow reaches or exceeds $2.1 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$97 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $255 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,215 loss on $10,000 · 22.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.