Honeywell Aerospace (HONA)
USIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
$161.01+3.90%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
USIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HONA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -32.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 56 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HONA — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
by reference. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that Section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act.
Why it matters: This segment has been unstable. A drop would raise worries about profits and operations.
Worry ifEngines and Power Systems made over $299 million in profit.
Less concerning ifEngines and Power Systems made less than $299 million in profit.
Why it matters: This report will show if Honeywell Aerospace keeps growing its sales. Investors will watch for changes in revenue and profits.
Watch forQ2 2026 total net sales grow year over year by more than 12%.
Also watch forQ2 2026 total net sales grow year over year by less than 7%.
Why it matters: Weak backlog growth may show less demand for Honeywell Aerospace's products.
Worry ifBacklog growth reported below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifBacklog growth reported above 5% year over year.
Why it matters: A drop in net income may show lower profits and more operational problems.
Worry ifQ4 2025 net income reported at $430 million or higher.
Less concerning ifQ4 2025 net income reported below $430 million.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$239 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | Not available | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,828 loss on $10,000 · 38.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This would indicate that Honeywell Aerospace is not meeting its growth targets. Investors are focused on organic sales growth as a key performance measure.
Worry ifQ3 organic sales growth was below 4%.
Less concerning ifQ3 organic sales growth was above 4%.
Why it matters: A big drop in adjusted EBIT means less profit. This matters as management wants to keep profits high.
Worry ifAdjusted EBIT declines more than 10% year over year in Q3.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBIT declines less than 10% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: Updates on the share buyback plan show that management trusts the company's money.
Supportive ifThey announced share buybacks as part of the $3.5 billion program.
Worry ifNo updates or share repurchases in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Completing the qualification of new suppliers is crucial for improving supply chain constraints. This will support future growth.
Supportive ifOver 50 new suppliers qualified by the end of 2026.
Worry ifLess than 50 new suppliers qualified by the end of 2026.