Honeywell Aerospace (HONA)
USIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
$149.59-4.35%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
USIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HONA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -19.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 95.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 114.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HONA — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-28
Other Events On October 28, 2026, the Company announced that its Board of Directors declared its first quarterly cash dividend on its common stock as an independent public company of $0.40 per share of its common stock. The dividend is payable on December 4, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on November 13, 2026.
Why it matters: Honeywell kept its 2026 organic sales growth range at 4% to 5%. Q3 growth slowed to 2%, so Q4 tests that range.
Worry ifQ4 organic sales growth is below 4%, or Honeywell cuts its 2026 range below 4%.
Less concerning ifQ4 organic sales growth is at least 4%, and Honeywell keeps its 2026 range at 4% to 5%.
Why it matters: Honeywell raised its second-half cash flow range to $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion. The result tests that higher bar.
Worry ifReported second-half free cash flow is below $1.2 billion.
Less concerning ifReported second-half free cash flow is at least $1.2 billion.
Why it matters: Supplier limits held back aftermarket sales and international defense sales. More parts could help Honeywell meet demand.
Supportive ifQ4 results show fewer limits on mechanical parts. Commercial Aftermarket sales grow faster than Q3's 2%.
Worry ifQ4 results still cite limits on mechanical parts. Commercial Aftermarket sales grow 2% or less.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$238 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $550 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,947 loss on $10,000 · 39.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.