Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
NASDAQFinancialsCapital MarketsSnapshot 2026-07-08
$113.53+0.56%
Close 2026-07-08 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $113.53. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $113 the market pays 55× p/e — above the 24× p/e peer median but in line with its own 45× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $73 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with low confidence. Analysts target $82–$130. Note: our $73 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($82–$130). Not investment advice.
$82.00 – $130.00 (median $106.50) · 22 analysts · as of 2026-07-02
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $106.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $47.87 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $43.40 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $22.21 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $27.33 | 2.6 | 10.59 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $34.61 | 14.8 | 2.35 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $48.93 | 23.6 | 2.07 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $15.09 | 3.0 | 5.04 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $61.11 | 29.5 | 2.07 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $13.78 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $93.92 | 45.4 | 2.07 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $51.39 | 23.6 | 2.17 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $37.58 | 2.6 | 14.56 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $74.42 | 23.6 | 3.15 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $25.38 | 3.0 | 8.48 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $92.95 | 29.5 | 3.15 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $142.85 | 45.4 | 3.15 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $46.46 | 2.6 | 18.00 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $98.42 | 23.6 | 4.16 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $33.57 | 3.0 | 11.21 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $122.92 | 29.5 | 4.16 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $188.91 | 45.4 | 4.16 | Analyst | medium |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.