Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HOOD
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $122 HOOD trades at 52× p/e — 2.5× the 21× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $62 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts target $94–$160. Note: our $62 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($94–$160). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $164 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $118.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| graham number | 12M | $23.57 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $22.91 | 2.2 | 10.46 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $49.06 | 20.8 | 2.36 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$94.00 – $160.00 (median $118.00) · 29 analysts · as of 2026-09-04
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $14.43 |
| 2.7 |
| 5.41 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| PEG | 12M | $80.47 | 34.1 | 2.36 | TTM | medium |
| residual income | 12M | $14.68 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $52.47 | 20.8 | 2.52 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $30.42 | 2.2 | 13.89 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $75.19 | 20.8 | 3.62 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $24.63 | 2.7 | 9.23 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $123.33 | 34.1 | 3.62 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $36.74 | 2.2 | 16.78 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $99.44 | 20.8 | 4.78 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $32.57 | 2.7 | 12.21 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $163.10 | 34.1 | 4.78 | Analyst | medium |