Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$78.39-10.32%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HOOD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 29.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 8.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HOOD — CFO transition
Dated 2026-06-26
Principal Accounting Officer — Dara Bazzano: Dara Bazzano was appointed as the Principal Accounting Officer, with Shiv Verma continuing to serve as CFO and principal financial officer.
Why it matters: Crypto revenue fell 55% year over year in Q3. A further drop would add pressure as other trading lines grow.
Worry ifQ4 crypto revenue falls below $120 million, or app crypto trading volume falls below $21 billion.
Less concerning ifQ4 crypto revenue tops $120 million, and app crypto trading volume tops $21 billion.
Why it matters: Event contracts drove $173 million in Q3 revenue. More trading can show that this new business keeps gaining traction.
Supportive ifQ4 event contracts traded rise above 16.4 billion, and event contract revenue tops $173 million.
Worry ifQ4 event contract trades fall below 16.4 billion, or revenue from event contracts falls below $173 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$237 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $759 loss on $10,000 · 7.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,427 loss on $10,000 · 54.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.