Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN)
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
$152.00-2.55%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HWKN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 48.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 40.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HWKN — officer change
Dated 2026-08-14
Director — Yi “Faith” Tang: A director resigned effective immediately but explicitly stated there were no disagreements regarding company operations or policies.
Why it matters: Water Treatment drove much of recent growth. A sharp slowdown would weaken the growth story.
Worry ifIn the next reported quarter, Water Treatment sales grow less than 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifWater Treatment sales grow 10% or more year over year, with organic volume growth.
Why it matters: The two deals add customers and locations. Their sales can show whether Hawkins is turning its expansion plan into growth.
Supportive ifHawkins reports added sales from the two deals. Water Treatment organic sales growth stays positive.
Worry ifHawkins reports no added sales from the deals. Or Water Treatment organic sales fall year over year.
Why it matters: Last year's second half had a one-time $6.2 million cost cut. Hawkins warned that it will not repeat, which may affect year-over-year results.
Watch forSecond-half fiscal 2027 diluted EPS grows year over year despite the missing $6.2 million SG&A cut.
Also watch forSecond-half fiscal 2027 diluted EPS falls year over year, and the company cites the missing cost cut as a key cause.
Why it matters: Sales grew in the latest quarter, but segment gross profit fell. Another margin drop would show that sales growth is not lifting profit.
Worry ifFood & Health Sciences gross profit margin falls below 19% in a reported quarter.
Less concerning ifThe segment holds a margin of 19% or more and gross profit grows year over year.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$94 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $372 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,146 loss on $10,000 · 31.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Higher input and fuel costs already reduced gross profit. More cost pressure could slow earnings growth.
Worry ifA reported quarter shows a bigger year-over-year LIFO cost hit. Or fuel costs again top freight charges collected.
Less concerning ifThe LIFO cost hit shrinks year over year, and freight charges cover higher fuel costs.