Hyliion Holdings Corp. (HYLN)
AMEXConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.63-12.33%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HYLN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -58.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 20 industry peers
HYLN — director transition
Dated 2026-10-01
The filing discloses the adoption of a nonqualified deferred compensation plan, which is a compensatory arrangement rather than a change in management personnel.
Why it matters: Hyliion plans to use financing to support production growth. The cash balance will show whether spending and financing stay near plan.
Worry ifHyliion completes equipment financing for $10 million to $15 million. It reports at least $115 million in cash and investments at year-end.
Less concerning ifThe financing does not close in 2026, or Hyliion reports year-end cash and investments below $115 million.
Why it matters: Hyliion raised its 2026 revenue goal to $15 million. Q3 results will show if Navy work and early customer sales keep revenue moving toward that goal.
Supportive ifOn November 10, Q3 revenue is at least $4.9 million, keeping the year-to-date total near or above $12.7 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $4.9 million, putting the $15 million 2026 goal further out of reach.
Why it matters: The Navy system is a test of KARNO at a larger scale. It also supports the same modular design Hyliion plans to use for larger power plants.
Supportive ifHyliion reports the 800-kilowatt system is complete in 2026 and ready for the planned USX-1 Defiant sea trials.
Worry ifThe system is still in assembly after 2026, or Hyliion reports a delay to the planned sea trials.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$311 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $947 loss on $10,000 · 9.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,358 loss on $10,000 · 63.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.