Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ICHR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 1.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 43.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 42.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ICHR — debt issuance
Dated 2026-05-18
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On May 18, 2026 , Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (the “Company”) entered into a sales agreement (the “Sales Agreement”) with TD Securities (USA) LLC, Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, Needham & Company, LLC, and Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC (collectively, the “Agents”). Pursuant to the terms of the Sales Agreement, the Company may sell from time to time through the Agents, as sales agents, ordinary shares, with a par value of $0.0001 per share (the "…
Why it matters: Better operating income means they control costs and work well.
Supportive ifOperating income was over $2.1 million for Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating income was below $1 million for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in sector growth could impact Ichor's performance and outlook.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: New debt could affect cash flow and financial flexibility. Monitoring is key.
Watch forThe details show that issuing debt helps cash flow. It does not hurt liquidity.
Also watch forDetails show debt issuance increases cash flow strain.
Why it matters: Information on debt issuance can explain financial plans and how money is used.
Watch forAnnouncement of specific terms and use of proceeds from the debt issuance.
Also watch forNo further details provided on the debt issuance within the next month.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$392 on $10,000 · ±3.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $995 loss on $10,000 · 9.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,390 loss on $10,000 · 53.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Less cash used means better management of working capital and cash flow.
Supportive ifCash used in operations was under $2 million for Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash used in operations was over $3 million for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Exceeding this revenue target would confirm strong demand and growth momentum for Ichor.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue reported above $330 million.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue reported below $315 million.
Why it matters: A better gross margin shows good cost control and efficient operations.
Supportive ifGross margin reported above 14% for Q3 2026.
Worry ifGross margin reported below 13.5% for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Hitting this EPS target means higher profits. It also shows the company is doing well.
Supportive ifGAAP EPS reported above $0.30 for Q3 2026.
Worry ifGAAP EPS reported below $0.25 for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Having strong cash helps with growth plans and keeps finances stable.
Supportive ifCash and cash equivalents reported above $250 million at the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifCash and cash equivalents reported below $240 million at the end of Q3 2026.