Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$33.71-7.72%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ICHR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -31.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 41.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 72.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ICHR — debt issuance
Dated 2026-05-18
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On May 18, 2026 , Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (the “Company”) entered into a sales agreement (the “Sales Agreement”) with TD Securities (USA) LLC, Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, Needham & Company, LLC, and Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC (collectively, the “Agents”). Pursuant to the terms of the Sales Agreement, the Company may sell from time to time through the Agents, as sales agents, ordinary shares, with a par value of $0.0001 per share (the "…
Why it matters: Ichor used $15.9 million in cash from operations in Q2. Inventory and receivables drove much of that use.
Supportive ifQ3 cash from operations is above zero.
Worry ifQ3 cash from operations is below zero again.
Why it matters: A longer view of customer demand can support Ichor's revenue outlook. A shorter view may weaken that support.
Watch forManagement says it can still see customer demand well into 2027.
Also watch forManagement says it can no longer see customer demand into 2027.
Why it matters: Q2 non-GAAP EPS rose to $0.34 from $0.15. Q3 results test whether earnings growth continues.
Watch forQ3 non-GAAP EPS is above $0.45, the midpoint of the $0.40 to $0.50 range.
Also watch forQ3 non-GAAP EPS is below $0.40, the low end of the range.
Why it matters: Management guided to $315 million to $345 million. Q3 results will test its growth outlook.
Watch forQ3 revenue is above $330 million, the midpoint of the $315 million to $345 million range.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $315 million, the low end of the range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$341 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,014 loss on $10,000 · 10.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,998 loss on $10,000 · 70.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Gross margin rose from 12.8% to 14.1% in Q2. Another gain would support management's margin plan.
Supportive ifQ3 non-GAAP gross margin is above Q2's 14.1%.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP gross margin is below 14.1%.