Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
T STAMP INC (IDAI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.60+1.17%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.14 → 0.14 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for IDAI yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cash flow from operations improves toward break-even | It is improving cash flow from operations, cutting losses from $4M to $1.85M. | Broken | Cash flow loss worsens beyond -$1.85M next year | Cash from operations: $-2.228M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: Cash flow loss less than -$1.85M. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 13, 2026-2,227,679 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 13, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk, loss-making growth story, not an established compounder. The long-term thesis is in a watch state: revenue is growing, but recent performance and company momentum have weakened.
IDAI is valued at a premium to peers, while the expectations gap is negative and the valuation signal is described as aligned. This suggests the market is not pricing in a clear upside surprise, but the evidence does not show exactly what level of future growth investors expect.
Near term, the consecutive earnings misses and weaker recent performance leave another guidance cut as a key risk. Revenue grew 22% in the first half of 2026, mainly due to a bank customer, though orchestration-layer usage remains slower than management hopes. African telecom work has some delivery evidence, while the Malta sovereign AI initiative has limited financial proof so far.
The multi-year view hinges on whether financial-services revenue keeps growing and orchestration-layer usage expands, alongside concrete progress in African telecom and sovereign AI work. Near term, a guidance cut would add pressure; rate cuts or steadier results from major technology companies could improve the sector backdrop, but would not resolve IDAI’s execution risks.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, IDAI remains a fragile growth thesis: revenue growth is encouraging, but losses, execution uncertainty, and a high risk profile outweigh the limited evidence of durable progress. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in T STAMP INC's published investment case. The stated target is Operating loss less negative than -$2.27M. |
| Broken |
| Operating loss worsens beyond -$2.27M next year |
Operating income: $-2.397M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: Operating loss less negative than -$2.27M. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 13, 2026-2,397,226 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue reaches about $2.55 million in 2026 | A primary condition in T STAMP INC's published investment case. The stated target is ~$2.55M. | Broken | Revenue falls below $2.4 million in FY26 | Revenue: $899,949 FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: ~$2.55M. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 13, 2026899,949 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.08 → $0.14 · observed estimates
$0.01B → $0.01B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.08 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.08 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.08 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.08 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.08 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.08 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.08 | $15,028,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.05 | $15,028,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.08 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.05 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.05 | $15,028,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.05 | $15,028,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.05 | $15,028,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.05 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.05 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.05 | $15,028,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.05 | $15,028,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.05 | $15,028,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.05 | $15,028,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.05 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.05 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.05 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.05 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.05 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.05 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.05 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.14 | $15,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.