T STAMP INC (IDAI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.23+1.89%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IDAI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -45.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 22.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 67.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IDAI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 13, 2026, T Stamp Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the six months ended June 30, 2026. A copy of that press release is being furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained in and accompanying this Form 8-K with respect to Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1 hereto) is being furnished to, and not filed with, the Securities and Exchange Commission in accordance with General…
Why it matters: Successful integration could increase revenue and bring in more clients.
Supportive ifIntegration with another of the US 'Big Three' banking platforms is completed by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifIntegration is delayed beyond Q3 2026 or fails to attract additional clients.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow means better finances. It also leads to smoother operations.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations will be positive in the next few quarters.
Worry ifCash flow from operations stays negative or gets worse in future reports.
Why it matters: Contracts in Africa could bring in more money. Progress here shows market growth.
Supportive ifContracts with African governments or Telcos are worth over $4 million.
Worry ifNo new contracts were announced. This shows slow progress in Africa.
Why it matters: This growth shows Trust Stamp's plans in sovereign AI. It shows the company's strong place in a big market.
Supportive ifTrust Stamp sees revenue growth from sovereign AI projects. This matches the $48 billion market estimate.
Worry ifRevenue from sovereign AI projects does not grow or stays the same.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$332 on $10,000 · ±3.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $789 loss on $10,000 · 7.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,253 loss on $10,000 · 72.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Revenue from Africa's largest Telco can increase overall earnings. This shows market growth.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of revenue from the Telco engagement by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifThere are no updates or delays in revenue reporting from the Telco.
Why it matters: Winning contracts in Ghana could bring in money and prove the market plan.
Supportive ifNews of agreements for government contracts in Ghana.
Worry ifContinued delays or failure to secure contracts in Ghana.
Why it matters: Regulatory clarity is key for the rollout of the Wallet of Wallets. This impacts future revenue.
Supportive ifNew laws show support for stablecoin yield structures.
Worry ifMore delays or rules on stablecoin governance could slow down rollout.
Why it matters: Legislative clarity on stablecoins is crucial for launching the Wallet of Wallets. This could impact future revenue.
Watch forNew laws allow stablecoin rewards. This will help fully launch the Wallet of Wallets.
Also watch forNew laws limit stablecoin rewards. This will delay the launch of the Wallet of Wallets.
Why it matters: Progress at the Sovereign Technology Center could open new revenue streams in the AI market. This is critical for long-term growth.
Supportive ifLook for news on partnerships or contracts for the Sovereign Technology Center by Q3.
Worry ifIf no updates or partnerships come by Q3, it may show delays or low interest.
Why it matters: Finishing these acquisitions could boost growth and improve market position for T Stamp.
Supportive ifA press release will confirm that the Lexverify and CyberFish deal is done.
Worry ifNo news or delays in the deal process beyond what is expected.
Why it matters: Progress on the 'Wallet of Wallets' could indicate new revenue streams in the stablecoin market.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of the successful launch or partnerships for the 'Wallet of Wallets'.
Worry ifFurther delays or lack of clarity on the 'Wallet of Wallets' project.
Why it matters: New clients are expected to drive significant revenue in Q2. This shows growth potential.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue exceeds $1 million, driven by new major clients.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is under $1 million. This shows slow client onboarding.
Why it matters: Updates on revenue from African telecoms could confirm growth in a key market.
Supportive ifAt least $2 million in revenue from Africa's largest telecom by the end of 2027.
Worry ifNo revenue news or delays in contracts with African telecoms.
Why it matters: Success in Ghana could greatly increase the company's revenue.
Supportive ifOne or more contracts are signed for government work in Ghana during FY 2026.
Worry ifNo definitive agreements are reached for government contracts in Ghana by the end of FY 2026.