IDT Corp. (IDT)
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$81.82-2.58%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IDT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers
IDT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-09-28
of Form 8-K promulgated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). This information shall not be deemed to be “filed” with the SEC or incorporated by reference into any other filing with the SEC unless otherwise expressly stated in such filing. In addition, this Report and the press release contain statements intended as “forward-looking statements” that are subject to the cautionary statements about forward-looking statements set forth in the press release.
Why it matters: NRS grew revenue 24% in FY 2026. More growth would support the case that new services and retailer gains are working.
Supportive ifIn the next quarterly report, NRS revenue is up at least 20% year over year and retailer locations rise from 35,400.
Worry ifNRS revenue growth falls below 10% year over year, or retailer locations fall below 35,400.
Why it matters: Management said net2phone was on track to pass $100 million in ARR in the current quarter. This would mark a clear step in its growth.
Supportive ifIDT reports net2phone ARR above $100 million in its next quarterly update.
Worry ifIDT reports net2phone ARR at or below $100 million in its next quarterly update, or says the milestone was delayed.
Why it matters: IDT Telecom amended its credit line near its planned end date. The next report can show whether the new terms changed access to credit.
Watch forThe December 3 report says the amended credit line is still available. It gives the new size and end date.
Also watch forThe December 3 report says the credit line was reduced, withdrawn, or changed again on worse terms.
Why it matters: BOSS Money's digital channel made up 88% of 4Q26 transactions. Continued growth would support its shift toward digital services.
Supportive ifIn the next quarterly report, BOSS Money digital transactions and revenue both grow at least 15% year over year.
Worry ifIn the next quarterly report, digital transactions or revenue grows less than 5% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$104 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $226 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,080 loss on $10,000 · 10.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.