iHeartMedia, Inc. (IHRT)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.81-1.06%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IHRT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -5.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 8.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IHRT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-10
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 10, 2026 , iHeartMedia, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this report, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (t…
Why it matters: Reaching this target shows that management trusts in making cash.
Supportive ifFree Cash Flow reported at or above $200 million for FY 2026.
Worry ifFree Cash Flow reported below $150 million for FY 2026.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss would show ongoing problems. This could hurt stock performance.
Worry ifQ2 earnings were less than what analysts expected.
Less concerning ifQ2 earnings were more than what analysts expected.
Why it matters: The company aims to generate $200M in free cash flow. Updates will indicate if this target is achievable.
Supportive ifManagement says they are making progress toward the $200M free cash flow goal.
Worry ifManagement lowers the free cash flow target. This shows possible issues with cash generation.
Why it matters: The guidance will show if iHeartMedia can maintain revenue growth momentum.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue guidance shows an increase of low-single digits or better.
Worry ifQ2 revenue guidance indicates a decline or flat revenue.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$270 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $710 loss on $10,000 · 7.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,766 loss on $10,000 · 57.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a shift in the declining trend for iHeartMedia. This could improve investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported as positive year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: This program could help cash flow. It may also improve financial health.
Supportive ifManagement says they are making progress. They aim for $50 million in savings.
Worry ifNo updates or reports of delays in the cost savings program.
Why it matters: The communication services sector is going down. If it improves, iHeartMedia could gain.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is now positive. This shows recovery that could help iHeartMedia.
Worry ifSector revenue is still going down. This shows iHeartMedia faces ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Management expects Adjusted EBITDA to be between $180 million and $220 million. This will show if they are on track for their $800 million annual target.
Supportive ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA was between $180 million and $220 million.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA was less than $180 million.
Why it matters: Management aims for mid-single-digit revenue growth. This will indicate if they can sustain their growth trajectory.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue grew more than 4% compared to last year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue grew less than 4% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Management aims for $200 million in Free Cash Flow for 2026. Improvement in Q3 will show progress toward this goal.
Supportive ifFree Cash Flow reported above $50 million in Q3.
Worry ifFree Cash Flow reported below $50 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Digital Audio Group revenue is key for future growth. Continued growth signals strong demand for digital advertising.
Supportive ifDigital Audio Group revenue growth reported above 12% year over year.
Worry ifDigital Audio Group revenue growth reported below 12% year over year.