iHeartMedia, Inc. (IHRT)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.87-8.78%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IHRT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -26.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 3.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
IHRT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-10
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 10, 2026 , iHeartMedia, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this report, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (t…
Why it matters: Q1 free cash flow was negative $114 million and Q2 was positive $46 million. The full-year target still needs a strong second half.
Worry ifFY 2026 free cash flow is below $200 million, or management lowers the target.
Less concerning ifFY 2026 free cash flow reaches about $200 million or more.
Why it matters: Digital Audio revenue grew 12.4% in Q2, led by podcasts. Slower growth would weaken a key source of company growth.
Worry ifDigital Audio revenue growth is below 10% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Less concerning ifDigital Audio revenue growth stays at or above 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Management named Netflix and Hulu as new places for its video podcasts. A launch would show this plan is moving forward.
Supportive ifiHeart or either service announces a video podcast launch with a named show and release date.
Worry ifNo named show or launch date is announced by the end of Q1 2027, or a stated launch is canceled.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$251 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $747 loss on $10,000 · 7.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,630 loss on $10,000 · 76.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.