Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
INTRUSION INC (INTZ)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.62+28.44%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for INTZ yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Reduce net loss from current levels | A primary condition in INTRUSION INC's published investment case. The stated target is net loss improves toward zero. | Intact | net loss does not improve or worsens in FY27 | Net income: $-2.59M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: net loss improves toward zero. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 11, 2026-2,590,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 10, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk turnaround and growth case, not an established compounder. The long-term thesis is on watch: management reports progress toward profitability, while recent company momentum weakened and financial performance remains well below its industry cohort.
The evidence describes INTZ as cheap versus peers, but the model confidence is low and its expectations gap is negative. The valuation signal is marked justified, with low fragility, yet those labels do not remove the uncertainty around a loss-making business with weak recent performance.
Near term, another earnings miss is a meaningful risk, given the run of misses and the company's smaller size. Revenue rose from $0.9 million in the first quarter of 2026 to $1.45 million in the second, while the net loss narrowed from $3.6 million to $2.6 million; management has kept fiscal 2027 profitability as a priority. The acquisition added about $3.5 million in annual recurring revenue, but its commercial progress is mixed, and a CEO transition adds uncertainty.
The multi-year thesis depends on continued loss reduction and progress toward profitability by fiscal 2027, alongside successful integration of VigilAigent and growth in new business. Near term, a guidance cut would weaken the case, while easier Federal Reserve policy or stabilization among large technology companies could improve the sector backdrop.
Over the next one to three years, INTZ remains a speculative, loss-making business with early signs of improvement but substantial execution and earnings risk. The evidence supports a watchful thesis, not a settled turnaround. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in INTRUSION INC's published investment case. The stated target is >=29.5% YoY revenue growth. |
| Improving |
| YoY revenue growth falls below 29.5% in FY27 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Successful integration of OW Cyber LLC acquisition | The company is expanding by acquiring OW Cyber LLC. | Improving | acquisition fails to integrate or harms business | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.31 → $-0.23 · observed estimates
$0.01B → $0.01B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.31 | $9,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.23 | $11,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.