Innovex International, Inc. (INVX)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$30.07-2.37%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INVX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 6.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
INVX — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-10
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 6, 2026, Innovex International, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an Underwriting Agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with certain affiliates of Amberjack Capital Partners, L.P. (the “Selling Stockholders”) and Barclays Capital Inc., as underwriter (the “Underwriter”), relating to the offer and sale by the Selling Stockholders of 5,000,000 shares of common stock, par value $0.01 per share, of the Company (the “Common Stock”), at a pri…
Why it matters: Better margins show that the company is doing well. This helps profits in the long run.
Supportive ifThe adjusted EBITDA margin for the subsea business will be over 20% by the end of 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin falls or stays below 20%. This shows ongoing margin pressure.
Why it matters: Completing this exit is key for improving margins. It will also help efficiency.
Supportive ifCompletion of the exit is confirmed by a press release or earnings update.
Worry ifThere are more delays in leaving the Eldridge facility.
Why it matters: Integrating TCO is important for Innovex's technology and market growth. Success shows good execution of the growth plan.
Supportive ifTCO helps revenue growth and makes operations better by Q4 2026.
Worry ifTCO integration does not provide expected growth or benefits by Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insights into revenue and profitability trends. This is a key moment for investors to gauge performance.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth from Q1.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue and adjusted EBITDA decline from Q1.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$148 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $364 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,396 loss on $10,000 · 24.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows good financial management. It can help support growth plans.
Supportive ifOperational cash flow is improving or is better than last quarter.
Worry ifOperational cash flow is still going down or is not changing.
Why it matters: Hitting the EBITDA target shows good cost control. It also shows efficient operations.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 reaches $48 million or more.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 falls below $43 million.
Why it matters: New project awards would support Innovex's growth plans and position in subsea work.
Supportive ifNew subsea project awards over $20 million were announced in Asia.
Worry ifNo new subsea project awards announced in Asia during Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If the energy sector's revenue growth speeds up, it could help Innovex's performance. This would signal a shift in the sector's maturity phase.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth exceeds 6% in the next quarter.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 6% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: If they meet or exceed this guidance, it shows strong growth and good operations.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $260 million or more.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $260 million.
Why it matters: Strong Free Cash Flow shows financial health and the ability to invest in growth.
Supportive ifFree Cash Flow reported above $30 million for Q3.
Worry ifFree Cash Flow reported below $30 million for Q3.