IonQ, Inc. (IONQ)
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-05
$26.43-10.53%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IONQ
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -36.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 100.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 136.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IONQ — capital allocation — Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
Dated 2026-11-05
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The information set forth under
Why it matters: IonQ said multi-product revenue grew 40% year over year in Q2. Further growth would support demand for its combined offerings.
Supportive ifIonQ reports multi-product revenue growth above 40% year over year in a later quarter.
Worry ifIonQ reports multi-product revenue growth below 40% year over year or a decline.
Why it matters: The deal needs regulatory approval and other closing steps. A delay would push back IonQ's planned entry into Zero Trust security.
Watch forIonQ announces the needed approvals and closes the Elisity deal in Q4 2026.
Also watch forIonQ reports a material approval problem or says the deal will not close in Q4 2026.
Why it matters: IonQ named 100% organic revenue growth as a 2026 goal. Q3 results can show whether growth is keeping pace.
Watch forQ3 revenue growth keeps IonQ on track for at least 100% organic growth in 2026.
Also watch forIonQ cuts its 2026 revenue outlook below $450 million or reports growth that puts the 100% goal out of reach.
Why it matters: IonQ reports on November 5. Its $450 million to $460 million outlook includes SkyWater from July 31.
Watch forIonQ keeps its $450 million to $460 million 2026 outlook after Q3 results.
Also watch forIonQ cuts its 2026 outlook below $450 million or reports results that put the range at risk.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$347 on $10,000 · ±3.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $887 loss on $10,000 · 8.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,333 loss on $10,000 · 63.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.